Relocation, Retreat, and the Rising Sea Level: A Simulation of Aggregate Outcomes in Escambia County, Florida

Yong Jee Kim (), Brigitte Waldorf () and Juan Sesmero ()
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Yong Jee Kim: Korea Environment Institute
Brigitte Waldorf: Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, USA
Juan Sesmero: Department of Agricultural Economics, Purdue University, USA

Region et Developpement, 2020, vol. 51, 31-43

Abstract: Using data for a flood-prone county in Florida, this paper analyzes the effects of sea-level rise on migration decisions and destination choices. The data are retrieved from parcel-level tax records, utilizing a name-matching procedure, enriched with synthetic population techniques to generate salient socio-economic attributes of movers and stayers. We find that in the years following a major flood event, households with high perceived risks have elevated migration propensities. We also find that households making ad hoc decisions on retreating from rising waters will in fact stay close to the hazard prone areas. This may eventually necessitate a further retreat, including a costly move.

Keywords: Sea-level rise; Retreat; Migration propensities (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: Q54 R11 R23 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tou:journl:v:51:y:2020:p:31-43

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