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An Analysis of Travel Demand in Japan's Intercity Market Empirical Estimation and Policy Simulation

Xiaowen Fu, Tae H. Oum and Jia Yan ()

Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, 2014, vol. 48, issue 1, 97-113

Abstract: This study estimates a travel demand model in Japan's intercity market with aggregate OD data. The estimated model is used to estimate the effects of introducing super high-speed-rail (HSR), and alternative levels of CO 2 emission taxation on the demands for airline and HSR modes. It is found that: (a) there is clear product differentiation between air and rail travel; (b) Japanese consumers are sensitive to travel time and frequency; (c) the proposed Tokyo-Osaka HSR services would drive airlines out of the route while stimulating substantial new traffic; and (d) CO 2 taxation would have a moderate impact on modal shift. © 2014 LSE and the University of Bath

Date: 2014
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