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Trade Volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three: Impacts and Determinants

Thi Nguyet Anh Nguyen (), Thi Hong Hanh Pham and Thomas Vallée ()
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Thi Nguyet Anh Nguyen: Faculty of Business Management, National Economics University, Hanoi, Viet Nam. Email:
Thi Hong Hanh Pham: LEMNA, Institute of Economics and Management, University of Nantes, France. Email:
Thomas Vallée: LEMNA, Institute of Economics and Management, University of Nantes, France. Email:

Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Thomas Vallée ()

Asian Development Review, 2020, vol. 37, issue 2, 167-200

Abstract: This paper investigates trade volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three (ASEAN+3) and its links with output volatility, export diversification, and free trade agreements. To achieve this research objective, we apply several econometric estimators to data from all ASEAN+3 member states over the period 1990–2016. We first find evidence of a positive relationship between output volatility and trade volatility. Second, we reveal that the way export diversification is measured can influence its impacts on bilateral export volatility. Moreover, the relationship between income volatility, trade volatility, and export diversification seems to depend on country size and the level of economic development.

Keywords: ASEAN+3; export diversification; FTA; output volatility; trade volatility (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F02 F14 F15 F21 F40 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2020
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Working Paper: Trade Volatility in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations Plus Three: Impacts and Determinants (2020)
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