The Global Productivity Slump: Common and Country-Specific Factors

Barry Eichengreen, Donghyun Park and Kwanho Shin

Asian Economic Papers, 2017, vol. 16, issue 3, 1-41

Abstract: Productivity growth is slowing around the world. In 2015, the growth of total factor productivity (TFP) hovered around zero for the fourth straight year, down from 1 percent in 1996–2006 and 0.5 percent in 2007–12. In this paper we identify previous episodes of sharp and sustained decelerations in TFP growth using data for a large sample of countries and years. TFP slumps are ubiquitous: We find as many as 77 such episodes, depending on definition, in low-, middle- and high-income countries. Low levels of educational attainment and unusually high investment rates are among the significant country-specific correlates of TFP slumps, and energy-price shocks are among the significant global factors.

JEL-codes: F33 F36 F50 F65 G00 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (12)

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