Import Competition and Internal Migration

Andrew Greenland, John Lopresti and Peter McHenry ()

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2019, vol. 101, issue 1, 44-59

Abstract: Abstract We examine the U.S. internal migration response to increased import competition following the granting of Permanent Normal Trade Relations to China in 2001. Using a variety of data sets and empirical approaches, we find that local labor markets most exposed to the policy change experienced a relative reduction in population growth over the following decade. The majority of the effect occurs at a lag of seven to ten years and is most pronounced among young individuals and low-education groups. Such population adjustments should influence the interpretation of evidence in the growing literature on import competition and local labor markets.

Date: 2019
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