Win or Lose: Residential Sorting After a School Choice Lottery

Andrew Bibler and Stephen Billings
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Andrew Bibler: University of Nevada, Las Vegas

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2020, vol. 102, issue 3, 457-472

Abstract: We examine residential relocation and opting out of the public school system in response to school choice lottery outcomes. We show that rising kindergartners and sixth graders who lose a school choice lottery are 6 percentage points more likely to exit the district or change neighborhood schools (20% to 30% increase) and make up 0.14 to 0.35 standard deviations in average school test scores between lottery assignment and attendance the following year. Using hedonic-based estimates of land prices, we estimate that lottery losers pay a 9% to 11% housing price premium for access to a school with a 1 standard deviation higher mean test score.

Date: 2020
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