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Structural Change and Internal Labor Migration: Evidence from the Great Depression

Christopher D. A. Boone and Laurence Wilse-Samson
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Christopher D. A. Boone: University of Massachusetts, Amherst
Laurence Wilse-Samson: University of Johannesburg

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2023, vol. 105, issue 4, 962-981

Abstract: We analyze sectoral labor reallocation and the reversal of urbanization in the United States during the Great Depression. The widespread movement to farms, which serves as a form of migratory insurance during the crisis, is largely toward farms with low levels of mechanization. In contrast, the mechanized agricultural sector sheds workers, many of whom reallocate into low-productivity or subsistence farming. The crisis perverts the normal process of structural change in which workers displaced by farm equipment are released into more productive occupations, suggesting that macroeconomic fluctuations are an important factor determining the labor market consequences of technological change.

Date: 2023
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The Review of Economics and Statistics is currently edited by Pierre Azoulay, Olivier Coibion, Will Dobbie, Raymond Fisman, Benjamin R. Handel, Brian A. Jacob, Kareen Rozen, Xiaoxia Shi, Tavneet Suri and Yi Xu

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