The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity, and International Spillovers
Enrico Moretti,
Claudia Steinwender and
John van Reenen
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Enrico Moretti: University of California at Berkeley, NBER, and CEPR
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2025, vol. 107, issue 1, 14-27
Abstract:
We examine the impact of government funding for R&D—and defense-related R&D in particular—on privately conducted R&D and its ultimate effect on productivity growth. We estimate longitudinal models that relate privately funded R&D to lagged government-funded R&D using industry-country level data from OECD countries and firm level data from France. To deal with the potentially endogenous allocation of government R&D funds, we use changes in predicted defense R&D as an instrumental variable. In many OECD countries, expenditures for defense-related R&D represent by far the most important form of public subsidies for innovation. In both datasets, we uncover evidence of “crowding in” rather than “crowding out,” as increases in government-funded R&D for an industry or a firm result in significant increases in private sector R&D in that industry or firm. On average, a 10% increase in government-financed R&D generates a 5% to 6% additional increase in privately funded R&D. We also find evidence of international spillovers, as increases in government-funded R&D in a particular industry and country raise private R&D in the same industry in other countries. Finally, we find that increases in private R&D induced by increases in defense R&D result in productivity gains.
Date: 2025
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https://doi.org/10.1162/rest_a_01293
Related works:
Working Paper: The intellectual spoils of war? Defense R&D, productivity, and international spillovers (2025) 
Working Paper: The intellectual spoils of war? Defense R&D, productivity and international spillovers (2019) 
Working Paper: The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers (2019) 
Working Paper: The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers (2019) 
Working Paper: The intellectual spoils of war? Defense R&D, productivity and international spillovers (2019) 
Working Paper: The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers (2019) 
Working Paper: The Intellectual Spoils of War? Defense R&D, Productivity and International Spillovers (2019) 
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