A Cointegration Analysis of Treasury Bill Yields
Anthony Hall (),
Heather Anderson and
The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1992, vol. 74, issue 1, 116-26
This paper shows that yields to maturity of U.S. Treasury bills are cointegrated and that, during periods when the Federal Reserve specifically targeted short-term interest rates, the spreads between yields of different maturity define the cointegrating vectors. This cointegrating relationship implies that a single nonstationary common factor underlies the time-series behavior of each yield to maturity and that risk premia are stationary. An error-correction model that uses spreads as the error-correction terms is unstable over the Federal Reserve's policy regime changes, but a model using post 1982 data is stable and is shown to be useful for forecasting changes in yields. Copyright 1992 by MIT Press.
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (364) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
http://links.jstor.org/sici?sici=0034-6535%2819920 ... 0.CO%3B2-Z&origin=bc full text (application/pdf)
Access to full text is restricted to JSTOR subscribers. See http://www.jstor.org for details.
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:tpr:restat:v:74:y:1992:i:1:p:116-26
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
https://mitpressjour ... rnal/?issn=0034-6535
Access Statistics for this article
The Review of Economics and Statistics is currently edited by Amitabh Chandra, Olivier Coibion, Bryan S. Graham, Shachar Kariv, Amit K. Khandelwal, Asim Ijaz Khwaja, Brigitte C. Madrian and Rohini Pande
More articles in The Review of Economics and Statistics from MIT Press
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Ann Olson ().