The Italian Recession Of 1993: Aggregate Implications Of Microeconomic Evidence

Raffaele Miniaci and Guglielmo Weber

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 1999, vol. 81, issue 2, 237-249

Abstract: We use household-level data covering a ten-year period (1984 to 1993) to investigate the likely determinants of the Italian recession of 1993, the first year after WWII when private consumption fell. Consumption fell most for working-age households and for the self-employed. Our evidence is consistent with the response to permanent negative shocks due to the major pension reform of 1992 and the introduction of stricter tax-compliance measures for the self-employed. This is still true when we control for the role played by job losses and the collapse of the retail sector that characterized the early 1990s. © 1999 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Date: 1999
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Working Paper: The Italian recession of 1993: Aggregate implications of microeconomic evidence (1996)
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