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Diverging Trends in Aggregate and Firm Volatility

Diego Comin and Sunil Mulani

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2006, vol. 88, issue 2, 374-383

Abstract: This note documents the diverging trends in volatility of the growth rate of sales at the aggregate and firm levels. We establish that the upward trend in firm volatility is not simply driven by a compositional bias in the sample studied.We argue that this new fact brings into question the proposed explanations for the decline in aggregate volatility and that, given the symmetry of the diverging trends at the micro and macro levels, a common explanation is likely. We conclude by describing one such theory. Copyright by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Date: 2006
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The Review of Economics and Statistics is currently edited by Pierre Azoulay, Olivier Coibion, Will Dobbie, Raymond Fisman, Benjamin R. Handel, Brian A. Jacob, Kareen Rozen, Xiaoxia Shi, Tavneet Suri and Yi Xu

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