The Short-Term and Localized Effect of Gun Shows: Evidence from California and Texas

Mark Duggan, Randi Hjalmarsson and Brian A. Jacob
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Brian A. Jacob: University of Michigan and NBER

The Review of Economics and Statistics, 2011, vol. 93, issue 3, 786-799

Abstract: We examine the effect of more than 3,400 gun shows using data from Gun and Knife Show Calendar and vital statistics data from California and Texas. Considering the one month following each show and a surrounding area ranging from 80 to 2,000 square miles, we find no evidence that gun shows increase either gun homicides or suicides. The similarity of our estimates for California and Texas suggests that the much tighter California gun show regulations do not substantially reduce the number of firearms-related deaths in that state. Using incident-level crime data for Houston, Texas, we also find no evidence of an effect on other crime categories. © 2011 The President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

Date: 2011
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The Review of Economics and Statistics is currently edited by Pierre Azoulay, Olivier Coibion, Will Dobbie, Raymond Fisman, Benjamin R. Handel, Brian A. Jacob, Kareen Rozen, Xiaoxia Shi, Tavneet Suri and Yi Xu

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