Uma Perspectiva Crítica do Novo Regime Fiscal para a Dinâmica de Curto e Longo Prazo da Economia brasileira

Hugo Carcanholo Iasco Pereira (), Tarik Tanure (), André Teixeira () and Fabricio Missio
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Hugo Carcanholo Iasco Pereira: Cedeplar/UFMG
Tarik Tanure: Cedeplar/UFMG
André Teixeira: Cedeplar/UFMG

REOESTE - Revista de Economia do Centro-Oeste, 2017, vol. 3, issue 1, 51-69

Abstract: The objective of this paper is to present a critical perspective for the "there is no alternative" ideology present in the New Fiscal Regime for the short and long term dynamics of the Brazilian economy. For this, the paper initially analyzes the situation of the main macroeconomic aggregates of the Brazilian economy in the triennium 2014-2016, highlighting the recession and the fiscal problem. Then, two elements are critically analyzed: i- the long-term: the distribution of the budget resources and the impacts on human capital (education and health) and ii- the short-term: the possibility that the PEC 55 reinforces the indexation of Brazilian economy and therefore reduces the economic growth. Finally, a critical perspective of the economic "model" present in the diagnosis that underlies the New Fiscal Regime is presented. The conclusion is that the solutions proposed to solve the fiscal and economic crisis are questionable and constitute a highly risky bet.

Keywords: Recession; austerity and ideology (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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