Preprocessing Technologies Of Retrospective Information As Forecasting Basis For Economic Processes

Oksana Snytuk and Lesia Berezhna

Business & Management Compass, 2010, issue 4, 67-78

Abstract: In this paper the forecasting problem for economic indicators is considered. It is shown that processes in economics can be divided into such groups: having stable dynamics; corresponding to crises of various type; the combined processes. In the first case retrospective base is known and on its basis technologies of data informativeness increase are offered. For crisis processes the necessity of elements application from the accidents theory is defined. For processes having long stable dynamics and containi ng the short - term crisis phenomena, the use composition advantages of discrete - continuous forecasting methods are shown. In the paper it is shown that economic processes in Ukraine are non - stationary and astable. The offered technology doesn’t limit the re searcher to requirements which are peculiar to integrodifferential methods. Its application allows to define strategy of effective economic development and to develop possible scenarios of economic subjects behavior.

JEL-codes: C11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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