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Adapting Altman's model to Bulgarian public companies

Venelin Georgiev () and Reni Petrova
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Venelin Georgiev: University of Economics - Varna
Reni Petrova: University of Economics - Varna

An Annual Book of University of Economics - Varna, 2014, vol. 85-86, issue 1, 107-151

Abstract: Warning signals and indications of pending possible future corporate failure of a company are usually spotted at an earlier stage than that of the reported results. It is on that basis that there exist the models developed by leading financial analysts, based on an integral indicator, which predicts -in the most simplified, but at the same time in the mosteffective way -the future development of enterprises.In the present work there is studied the applicability -in the Bulgarian practice –ofone of these models of the widest international popularity (the so-called Altman Z score).It has been ascertained that it identifies correctly only just 54.55% of the enterprises beinganalyzed. Based on an empirical study of 40 Bulgarian public companies conducted during a 7-year period, there is proposed a modification of the above model, which increases its predictive characteristics for the Bulgarian conditions.

Keywords: Altman's model; corporate failure; integral indicator; development of enterprises (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: M41 G33 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2014
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Handle: RePEc:vrn:yrbook:y:2014:i:1:p:107-151