Long-Term Trends in International Migration: Lessons from Macroeconomic Model

Frédéric Docquier

Economics and Business Review, 2018, vol. 4, issue 1, 3-15

Abstract: In this paper I develop a stylized model of the world economy and use it to explain the long-run trends in international migration. The model very well fits the trends of the last 40 years which are mainly governed by the evolution of population disparities between industrialized and developing countries. Then I provide migration projections for the 21st century and show that future migration is also governed by socio-demographic changes. I predict a robust increase in immigration pressures from sub-Saharan Africa and MENA countries to European countries.

Keywords: international migration; projections; world economy; inequality. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (6)

Downloads: (external link)
https://doi.org/10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1 (text/html)

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:ecobur:v:4:y:2018:i:1:p:3-15:n:1

DOI: 10.18559/ebr.2018.1.1

Access Statistics for this article

Economics and Business Review is currently edited by Tadeusz Kowalski

More articles in Economics and Business Review from Sciendo
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Peter Golla ().