Forecasting Parameters of Farm Development At the Regional Level Using the STELLA Program

Savka Mariia (), Cherneviy Yurii (), Yatsiv Ihor (), Balaniuk Ivan (), Shelenko Diana () and Yatsiv Svitlana ()
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Savka Mariia: PhD in Economics, Karpatnaftochim LTD, 4 Industrial str., 77306, Ivano-Frankivsk region, Kalush, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380503731070
Cherneviy Yurii: Prof. Dr., Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57 Shevchenko str., 76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380665340809
Yatsiv Ihor: Prof. Dr. Lviv National Environmental University, 1, V. Velykoho str., 80381, Dubliany – Lviv, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380975138522
Balaniuk Ivan: Prof. Dr. Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57, Shevchenka st.76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380503733282
Shelenko Diana: Prof. Dr. Vasyl Stefanyk Precarpathian National University, 57, Shevchenka st. 76010, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380990662326
Yatsiv Svitlana: PhD in Economics, Associate Professor, Lviv National Environmental University, 1 V. Velykoho str., Dubliany – Lviv, 80381, Ukraine, Phone No.: +380673931061

Management Theory and Studies for Rural Business and Infrastructure Development, 2022, vol. 44, issue 2, 209-222

Abstract: Given the importance of forecasting the production of agricultural products by farms, the study created an original model in the STELLA program, which identified the impact on the number of agricultural enterprises, land area and fertilizers. The created model showed that in Ivano-Frankivsk region by 2030 with the stabilization of the number of agricultural enterprises, land area and the increase in mineral fertilizers per hectare of sown area may increase agricultural production by farms. This will help solve important issues for the region and the state in general, related to strengthening food security, ensuring the social development of rural areas. The prognostic changes in the volume of agricultural production determined by the STELLA program by farms of the region until 2030 can be the basis for the development of a promising model of the agricultural production system at the regional level.

Keywords: farms; prognostication; Ukraine; small agrarian business; economic competition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C59 O12 Q12 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:mtrbid:v:44:y:2022:i:2:p:209-222:n:11

DOI: 10.15544/mts.2022.22

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