Regional Hazard Analysis For Use In Vulnerability And Risk Assessment

Maris Fotios (), Kitikidou Kyriaki, Paparrizos Spyridon, Karagiorgos Konstantinos, Potouridis Simeon and Fuchs Sven
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Maris Fotios: Democritus University, Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, Orestiada, Greece
Kitikidou Kyriaki: Democritus University, Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, Orestiada, Greece
Paparrizos Spyridon: Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, Albert-Ludwigs-University of Freiburg, Germany
Karagiorgos Konstantinos: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Institute of Mountain Risk Engineering, Vienna, Austria
Potouridis Simeon: Democritus University, Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, Orestiada, Greece
Fuchs Sven: University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Institute of Mountain Risk Engineering, Vienna, Austria

Quaestiones Geographicae, 2015, vol. 34, issue 3, 77-84

Abstract: A method for supporting an operational regional risk and vulnerability analysis for hydrological hazards is suggested and applied in the Island of Cyprus. The method aggregates the output of a hydrological flow model forced by observed temperatures and precipitations, with observed discharge data. A scheme supported by observed discharge is applied for model calibration. A comparison of different calibration schemes indicated that the same model parameters can be used for the entire country. In addition, it was demonstrated that, for operational purposes, it is sufficient to rely on a few stations. Model parameters were adjusted to account for land use and thus for vulnerability of elements at risk by comparing observed and simulated flow patterns, using all components of the hydrological model. The results can be used for regional risk and vulnerability analysis in order to increase the resilience of the affected population.

Keywords: hazard analysis; operational analysis; risk assessment; vulnerability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:quageo:v:34:y:2015:i:3:p:77-84:n:7

DOI: 10.1515/quageo-2015-0026

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