The probability of return conditional on migration duration: evidence from Kosovo

Kotorri Mrika ()
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Kotorri Mrika: Assistant Professor of Economics, Head of the Department of Economics, University of Prishtina, Faculty of Economy, Assistant Professor of Economics at Rochester, Institute of Technology Kosovo

South East European Journal of Economics and Business, 2017, vol. 12, issue 2, 35-46

Abstract: The aim of this paper is to conceptualise the migration duration decision within the expected utility maximisation framework, and from that to derive and estimate an empirical proposition. For this purpose, the conceptual framework in Kotorri (2015) is extended where households decide to return to the home country conditional on their migration duration. In the empirical analysis, the Cox proportional hazards model is employed. This analysis is the first to investigate migration duration based on a random sample stemming from the Kosovo census of population conducted in 2011. The findings suggest rather mixed support for the household approach. The hazard to return decreases with income but not nonlinearly. The results indicate that household return migration behaviour is influenced by demographic characteristics, psychic income, and political factors.

Keywords: Return; Migration; Duration; Survival Analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: D1 J60 O15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2017
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (1)

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:12:y:2017:i:2:p:35-46:n:4

DOI: 10.1515/jeb-2017-0016

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