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COHORT PATTERNS OF FERTILITY IN POLAND BASED ON STAGING PROCESS – GENERATIONS 1930-1980

Grzenda Wioletta () and Frątczak Ewa ()
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Grzenda Wioletta: Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, Institute of Statistics and Demography. Warsaw, ; Poland
Frątczak Ewa: Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of Economic Analysis, Institute of Statistics and Demography. Warsaw, ; Poland

Statistics in Transition New Series, 2018, vol. 19, issue 2, 315-330

Abstract: As a transition country in the region of Central and Eastern Europe, Poland has experienced unprecedented changes in the fertility. Currently, the total fertility rate level is very low, ca. 1.3 children per woman, which is below the replacement level. Many studies have described changes in fertility based on the cross-sectional approach. However, the changes of cohort fertility have been described not quite sufficiently. Our paper complements this gap by the assessment of stochastic fertility tables, calculated for five-year generations of women born in the period 1930-1980. The main goal of this study is to analyse changes in the cohort patterns of female fertility in Poland.

Keywords: cohort fertility; stochastic process; stage probabilities. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2018
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:stintr:v:19:y:2018:i:2:p:315-330:n:3

DOI: 10.21307/stattrans-2018-018

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