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The Complex-Number Mortality Model (CNMM) based on orthonormal expansion of membership functions

Szymański Andrzej and Rossa Agnieszka ()
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Szymański Andrzej: Institute of Statistics and Demography, University of Lodz, 41 Rewolucji 1905 St., 90-214, Lodz, Poland
Rossa Agnieszka: Institute of Statistics and Demography, University of Lodz, 41 Rewolucji 1905 St., 90-214, Lodz, Poland

Statistics in Transition New Series, 2021, vol. 22, issue 3, 31-57

Abstract: The paper deals with a new fuzzy version of the Lee-Carter (LC) mortality model, in which mortality rates as well as parameters of the LC model are treated as triangular fuzzy numbers. As a starting point, the fuzzy Koissi-Shapiro (KS) approach is recalled. Based on this approach, a new fuzzy mortality model – CNMM – is formulated using orthonormal expansions of the inverse exponential membership functions of the model components. The paper includes numerical findings based on a case study with the use of the new mortality model compared to the results obtained with the standard LC model.

Keywords: exponential membership functions; Legendre’s polynomials; mortality modelling; orthonormal system. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2021
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:stintr:v:22:y:2021:i:3:p:31-57:n:11

DOI: 10.21307/stattrans-2021-026

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