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Estimation of mask effectiveness perception for small domains using multiple data sources

Sen Aditi () and Lahiri Partha ()
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Sen Aditi: PhD Student, Applied Mathematics & Statistics, and Scientific Computation, .
Lahiri Partha: Director and Professor, The Joint Program in Survey Methodology & Professor, Department of Mathematics, University of Maryland, College Park, MD 20742, USA, .

Statistics in Transition New Series, 2022, vol. 23, issue 1, 1-20

Abstract: Understanding the impacts of pandemics on public health and related societal issues at granular levels is of great interest. COVID-19 is affecting everyone in the globe and mask wearing is one of the few precautions against it. To quantify people’s perception of mask effectiveness and to prevent the spread of COVID-19 for small areas, we use Understanding America Study’s (UAS) survey data on COVID-19 as our primary data source. Our data analysis shows that direct survey-weighted estimates for small areas could be highly unreliable. In this paper, we develop a synthetic estimation method to estimate proportions of perceived mask effectiveness for small areas using a logistic model that combines information from multiple data sources. We select our working model using an extensive data analysis facilitated by a new variable selection criterion for survey data and benchmarking ratios. We suggest a jackknife method to estimate the variance of our estimator. From our data analysis, it is evident that our proposed synthetic method outperforms the direct survey-weighted estimator with respect to commonly used evaluation measures.

Keywords: cross-validation; jackknife; survey data; synthetic estimation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:vrs:stintr:v:23:y:2022:i:1:p:1-20:n:2

DOI: 10.2478/stattrans-2022-0001

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