A brownian motion model of return migration

Charles S. Tapiero and Nina Toren

Applied Stochastic Models and Data Analysis, 1987, vol. 3, issue 3, 151-160

Abstract: This paper considers a continuous time, continuous state stochastic process to determine a theoretical model and empirical parameters for the probability distribution of remigration. A Brownian motion model is used for simplicity, with empirical findings drawn from a study of Israeli return migrants. A negative relationship between remigration (sojourn) time and the probability of return time is used to provide forecasts of remigration which can help governments who seek actively the return of their migrants to reach better decisions regarding the timing of their efforts.

Date: 1987
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https://doi.org/10.1002/asm.3150030303

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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:apsmda:v:3:y:1987:i:3:p:151-160

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