A Comment on: “Fisher–Schultz Lecture: Generic Machine Learning Inference on Heterogeneous Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments, With an Application to Immunization in India” by Victor Chernozhukov, Mert Demirer, Esther Duflo, and Iván Fernández‐Val

Stefan Wager

Econometrica, 2025, vol. 93, issue 4, 1171-1176

Abstract: We use the martingale construction of Luedtke and van der Laan (2016) to develop tests for the presence of treatment heterogeneity. The resulting sequential validation approach can be instantiated using various validation metrics, such as BLPs, GATES, QINI curves, etc., and provides an alternative to cross‐validation‐like cross‐fold application of these metrics. This note was prepared as a comment on the Fisher–Schultz paper by Chernozhukov, Demirer, Duflo, and Fernández‐Val, forthcoming in Econometrica.

Date: 2025
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