Futures & Foresight Science
2019 - 2024
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Volume 6, issue 4, 2024
- Simulation‐based generation and analysis of multidimensional future scenarios with time series clustering

- Patrick Steinmann, Koen van der Zwet and Bas Keijser
- Incorporating judgment in forecasting models in times of crisis

- Philip Hans Franses
- A review of the future: A very short introduction

- Nicholas J. Rowland and Alexis Ordess
- Compatible effects of adopting imaginary future generations and systems thinking in exploring future challenges: Evidence from a deliberation experiment

- Keishiro Hara, Yukari Fuchigami, Takanobu Arai and Yutaka Nomaguchi
- Time and futures. Analysis of time‐needs in futures research

- Veli Virmajoki and Mika‐Petri Laakkonen
- Scoring rules and performance, new analysis of expert judgment data

- Gabriela F. Nane and Roger M. Cooke
- Commentators as prosumers: A legal perspective on their futures

- Liudmila Sivetc
Volume 6, issue 3, 2024
- Simplification errors in predictive models

- Barbara L. van Veen and J. Roland Ortt
- Don't push the wrong button. The concept of microperspective in futures research

- Veli Virmajoki and Mika‐Petri Laakkonen
- Arts‐based approaches for futures workshops: Creating and interpreting artistic futures images

- Kai Lehikoinen and Satu Tuittila
- Science fiction in military planning—Case allied command transformation and visions of warfare 2036

- Elina Hiltunen and Aki‐Mauri Huhtinen
- Restoring democratic stability: A backcasting wheel approach

- Rick Szostak
- Extreme uncertainty requires extreme resilience: Identifying the features of resilience in complex social systems faced with deep uncertainty

- Leena Ilmola‐Sheppard and Phillip White
Volume 6, issue 2, 2024
- Corporate foresight in light of the COVID‐19 pandemic—The crisis as a driver?

- Theresa C. Schropp, Jan Oliver Schwarz and Fabian Buder
- Calibration training for improving probabilistic judgments using an interactive app

- Ross Gruetzemacher, Kang Bok Lee and David Paradice
- The place and limits of futures analysis: Strategy under uncertainty 25 years on

- Adam Vigdor Gordon
- Citizens envisioning life in 2040: A qualitative corporate foresight study in London

- Pauli Komonen and Susanne Jacobson
Volume 6, issue 1, 2024
- Integrating system dynamics and scenarios: A framework based on personal experience

- Martin Kunc
- Exploring the limits on Meliorism: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

- Philip E. Tetlock, Christopher Karvetski, Ville A. Satopää and Kevin Chen
- Quality indicators for Delphi studies

- Jon Landeta and Aitziber Lertxundi
- Prediction in international relations is hard, sometimes: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

- Paul Poast
- Understanding the origins of foresight—How it has shaped our minds and societies

- Björn M. Persson
- Nuclear cascades or more of the same? Why meliorists may have gotten it right: A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

- Etel Solingen
- What is predictable? A commentary on Tetlock et al. (2023)

- Daniel Treisman
- A probabilistic cross‐impact methodology for explorative scenario analysis

- Juho Roponen and Ahti Salo
- Long‐range subjective‐probability forecasts of slow‐motion variables in world politics: Exploring limits on expert judgment

- Philip E. Tetlock, Christopher Karvetski, Ville A. Satopää and Kevin Chen
Volume 5, issue 3-4, 2023
- A review of strategic planning for dynamic supply chains: Preparing for uncertainty using scenarios

- Megan M. Crawford and Eoin Plant‐O'Toole
- Scenario planning: Reflecting on cases of actionable knowledge

- John J. Oliver
- Designing research strategy and technology innovation for sustainability by adopting “imaginary future generations”—A case study using metallurgy

- Keishiro Hara, Iori Miura, Masanori Suzuki and Toshihiro Tanaka
- Explaining and critiquing the postnormal: A warning against ideologies in the field of futures and foresight

- Alex Fergnani
- Facilitating spatial consensus in complex future scenarios through Real‐Time Spatial Delphi: A novel web‐based open platform

- Yuri Calleo, Simone Di Zio and Francesco Pilla
- Perceived environmental turbulence and corporate strategy: The case of the UK recession

- Efstathios Tapinos, Graham Leask and Mike Brown
Volume 5, issue 2, 2023
- The value of experiments in futures and foresight science: A reply

- James Derbyshire, Mandeep K. Dhami, Ian Belton and Dilek Önkal
- Exploring scenario planning through controlled experimentation: Commentary on Derbyshire et al. (2022)

- Paul Schoemaker
- On the boundaries of experimental research on scenario planning: A commentary on Derbyshire et al. (2022)

- Ahti Salo
- The theory of narrative thought, by Lee Roy Beach and James A. Wise. UK: Cambridge Scholars Publishing, 2022. x+195 pp. ISBN: 1527581624 (hardback); £64.99

- Nicholas Glunt, Jazzmine McCauley, Nicholas J. Rowland, Shanette Wahor, Alexander B. Kinney and Nathan E. Kruis
- Considering field factors to enhance external validity of scenario planning experiments: A commentary on Derbyshire et al. (2022)

- Shardul S. Phadnis
- AI‐assisted scenario generation for strategic planning

- Matthew J. Spaniol and Nicholas J. Rowland
- On replication in science: Commentary on Derbyshire et al. (2022)

- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- The value of experiments in futures and foresight science as illustrated by the case of scenario planning

- James Derbyshire, Mandeep Dhami, Ian Belton and Dilek Önkal
- Constructing Delphi statements for technology foresight

- Per Dannemand Andersen
Volume 5, issue 1, 2023
- Free will determines the limits of psychological foresight: Review of “Free Will” by Sam Harris

- David J. Grüning
- The science behind “values”: Applying moral foundations theory to strategic foresight

- Brent Mills and Alex Wilner
- Future scenarios for improving Iran's overall destination image and attractiveness: A supply‐side perspective

- Mohammad Nematpour, Masood Khodadadi, Sarasadat Makian and Mohammad Ghaffari
- Computer‐aided scenario design using participatory backcasting: A case study of sustainable vision creation in a Japanese city

- Yusuke Kishita, Takuma Masuda, Hidenori Nakamura and Kazumasu Aoki
- Averaging quantiles, variance shrinkage, and overconfidence

- Roger Cooke
- Supporting distributed and integrated execution of future‐oriented technology analysis

- Carlos E. Barbosa, Yuri Lima, Matheus Emerick, Fabio Ferman, Fernanda C. Ribeiro and Jano Moreira de Souza
Volume 4, issue 3-4, 2022
- Deepening the conversation about the role of emotions and affective processes as barriers and enablers of decision making under uncertainty: Commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)

- Gerard P. Hodgkinson and Mark P. Healey
- A net‐zero Swiss energy system by 2050: Technological and policy options for the transition of the transportation sector

- Ramachandran Kannan, Evangelos Panos, Stefan Hirschberg and Tom Kober
- Leaving the path of optimality calculation: A commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett, 2021: Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt

- Jens Beckert
- Point, interval, and density forecasts: Differences in bias, judgment noise, and overall accuracy

- Xiaoxiao Niu and Nigel Harvey
- Commentary on "Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt" by Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)

- John Kay
- Dominant narratives, uncertainty denial, negative capability, and conviction: A commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)

- James Derbyshire
- Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt

- Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy and David Tuckett
- Advanced Introduction to Scenario Planning by Paul J. H. Schoemaker. Cheltenham, UK & Northampton, MA, USA, Edward Elgar Publishing, 2022, ix + 176 pp. ISBN 9781800376793 (hardback); 9781800376809 (ebook); 9781800376816 (paperback)

- Nicholas J. Rowland
- Synthesis of human and artificial intelligence: Review of “How to stay smart in a smart world: Why human intelligence still beats algorithms” by Gerd Gigerenzer

- David J. Grüning
- Conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt: Reflections on six expert commentaries

- Mark Fenton‐O'Creevy and David Tuckett
- Cocreating futures—A response to Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett, “Selecting futures: The role of conviction, narratives, ambivalence, and constructive doubt”

- Angela Wilkinson and Betty S. Flowers
- The force that rules the world: Commentary on Fenton‐O'Creevy and Tuckett (2021)

- Heiko A. von der Gracht
Volume 4, issue 2, 2022
- A critical evaluation of 42, large‐scale, science and technology foresight Delphi surveys

- Ian Belton, Kerstin Cuhls and George Wright
- Tracing the progress of scenario research in business and management

- Arbrie Jashari, Victor Tiberius and Marina Dabic
- Using cross‐impact analysis for probabilistic risk assessment

- Ahti Salo, Edoardo Tosoni, Juho Roponen and Derek W. Bunn
- What about the future? New perspectives on planning, forecasting and complexity by Fred Phillips

- Riccardo Vecchiato
- Expanding the IPAT identity to quantify backcasting sustainability scenarios

- Kristian Skånberg and Åsa Svenfelt
Volume 4, issue 1, 2022
- New perspectives for data‐supported foresight: The hybrid AI‐expert approach

- Amber Geurts, Ralph Gutknecht, Philine Warnke, Arjen Goetheer, Elna Schirrmeister, Babette Bakker and Svetlana Meissner
- Robust action and scenarios: A rejoinder

- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- The conversation is great, but we need to talk more about theory, emotions, and ‘gut’ feelings: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Gerard P. Hodgkinson
- From Shell engineer to social architect and thought leader: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Paul Schoemaker
- Professor Kees van der Heijden: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Ronald M. Bradfield
- A timely (and timeless) blend of theory and practice: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Gary Bowman
- Scenarios, strategic conversations, and forecasting: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Robert Fildes
- Kees van der Heijden, a personal reflection: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021

- Trudi Lang
- Start‐ups and the art of ignoring the future: Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021

- Rixa Georgi‐Kröhl
- What's luck got to do with it? Commentary on Rowland and Spaniol (2021)

- Heiko A. von der Gracht
- “It depends on the client”—Kees van der Heijden and client‐centric scenario planning: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol 2021

- Rafael Ramirez
- From alternative pictures of the future to an organizational intervention: A commentary on Rowland and Spaniol

- Jan Oliver Schwarz
- The strategic conversation, 25 years later: A retrospective review of Kees van der Heijden's Scenarios: The Art of Strategic Conversation

- Nicholas J. Rowland and Matthew J. Spaniol
- Technology foresight for sustainable road freight transportation: Insights from a global real‐time Delphi study

- Tobias Meyer, Heiko A. von der Gracht and Evi Hartmann
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