PENSION DESIGN WITH A LARGE INFORMAL LABOR MARKET: EVIDENCE FROM CHILE

Clement Joubert

International Economic Review, 2015, vol. 56, issue 2, 673-694

Abstract: This article investigates the fiscal and welfare trade‐offs involved in designing a pension system when workers can avoid contributing by working informally. Using a life‐cycle model of labor supply and saving decisions, I structurally estimate preferences and earnings opportunities in the formal and informal sectors using data on Chilean households. I find limited support for formal jobs rationing. Instead, mandatory pension contributions significantly encourage informality. Policy experiments show that Chile could lower minimum pension spending by 23%—while guaranteeing the same income to retirees—if the minimum pension's implicit tax rate was increased to 60%.

Date: 2015
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