THE COST OF GREENING STIMULUS: A DYNAMIC ANALYSIS OF VEHICLE SCRAPPAGE PROGRAMS
Shanjun Li,
Youming Liu and
Chao Wei
International Economic Review, 2022, vol. 63, issue 4, 1561-1594
Abstract:
This article investigates the potential trade‐off between the stimulus and environmental objectives in the context of the U.S. vehicle scrappage program. We develop and estimate a dynamic model of vehicle ownership and conduct a counterfactual analysis comparing the implemented policy with alternative designs. We find the cost of the implemented policy 25% higher in terms of induced sales and 64% higher in terms of induced spending than a policy design without the environmental objective. The findings serve as a caution for green stimulus programs to address both climate change and the economic crisis from the ongoing pandemic.
Date: 2022
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:63:y:2022:i:4:p:1561-1594
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