The cycle of violence in the Second Intifada: Causality in nonlinear vector autoregressive models
Muhammad Asali (),
Aamer S. Abu‐Qarn and
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Aamer S. Abu-Qarn ()
Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2017, vol. 32, issue 6, 1197-1205
We contest Jaeger and Paserman's claim (Jaeger and Paserman , 2008. The cycle of violence? An empirical analysis of fatalities in the Palestinian–Israeli conflict. American Economic Review 98 (4): 1591–1604) that Palestinians did not react to Israeli aggression during Intifada 2. We address the differences between the two sides in terms of the timing and intensity of violence, estimate nonlinear vector autoregression models that are suitable when the linear vector autoregression innovations are not normally distributed, identify causal effects rather than Granger causality using the principle of weak exogeneity, and introduce the “kill‐ratio” as a concept for testing hypotheses about the cycle of violence. The Israelis killed 1.28 Palestinians for every killed Israeli, whereas the Palestinians killed only 0.09 Israelis for every killed Palestinian.
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (7) Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Working Paper: THE CYCLE OF VIOLENCE IN THE SECOND INTIFADA: CAUSALITY IN NONLINEAR VECTOR AUTOGRESSIVE MODELS (2016)
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:japmet:v:32:y:2017:i:6:p:1197-1205
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www3.intersci ... e.jsp?issn=0883-7252
Access Statistics for this article
Journal of Applied Econometrics is currently edited by M. Hashem Pesaran
More articles in Journal of Applied Econometrics from John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().