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Encompassing measures of international consumption risk sharing and their link with trade and financial globalization

Gerdie Everaert and Lorenzo Pozzi

Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2022, vol. 37, issue 2, 433-449

Abstract: We investigate international consumption risk sharing in a panel of 15 industrial economies over the historical period 1875–2016. By considering a rich empirical consumption‐income framework, we document time variation in the sensitivity of consumption growth to idiosyncratic and common shocks but even more so in the size of these shocks. We therefore suggest to measure risk sharing through the use of encompassing variance ratios that take into account all sources of time variation, rather than using the conventional measure that only considers the sensitivity of consumption to idiosyncratic income growth. Using these more encompassing measures, we estimate degrees of international risk sharing that lie above those typically reported the literature and find a closer connection with the trends in trade and financial globalization.

Date: 2022
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https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2876

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