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(Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia

Martin Kliem and Alexander Meyer‐Gohde
Authors registered in the RePEc Author Service: Alexander Meyer-Gohde

Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2022, vol. 37, issue 3, 477-499

Abstract: The term structure of interest rates is crucial for the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets and the macroeconomy. Disentangling the impact of monetary policy on the components of interest rates, expected short rates, and term premia is essential to understanding this channel. To accomplish this, we provide a quantitative structural model with endogenous, time‐varying term premia that are consistent with empirical findings. News about future policy, in contrast to unexpected policy shocks, has quantitatively significant effects on term premia along the entire term structure. This provides a plausible explanation for partly contradictory estimates in the empirical literature.

Date: 2022
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https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.2872

Related works:
Working Paper: (Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia (2019) Downloads
Working Paper: (Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia (2018) Downloads
Working Paper: (Un)expected monetary policy shocks and term premia (2017) Downloads
Working Paper: (Un)expected Monetary Policy Shocks and Term Premia (2017) Downloads
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