Cross‐Section Stock Return and Implied Covariance between Jump and Diffusive Volatility

Samuel Y.M. Ze‐To

Journal of Forecasting, 2015, vol. 34, issue 5, 379-390

Abstract: I examine the information content of option‐implied covariance between jumps and diffusive risk in the cross‐sectional variation in future returns. This paper documents that the difference between realized volatility and implied covariance (RV‐ICov) can predict future returns. The results show a significant and negative association of expected return and realized volatility–implied covariance spread in both the portfolio level analysis and cross‐sectional regression study. A trading strategy of buying a portfolio with the lowest RV‐ICov quintile portfolio and selling with the highest one generates positive and significant returns. This RV‐Cov anomaly is robust to controlling for size, book‐to‐market value, liquidity and systematic risk proportion. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Date: 2015
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:jforec:v:34:y:2015:i:5:p:379-390

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