EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Options on Troubled Stock

António Câmara, Ivilina Popova and Betty Simkins

Journal of Futures Markets, 2014, vol. 34, issue 7, 637-657

Abstract: This study uses equilibrium arguments to derive closed‐form solutions for the price of European call and put options written on an individual stock when shareholders might lose all their claims on the firm. The stock price accounts for both a random probability of bankruptcy and a random probability of remaining a going concern. With a random probability of bankruptcy, shareholders lose all their claims in the firm. With a random probability of remaining a going concern, the stock price is lognormal as in the Black–Scholes model. The bankruptcy probability is correlated with aggregated wealth if the bankruptcy risk is systematic. The model is consistent with a bankruptcy probability negatively correlated with the firm's stock price. If the bankruptcy probability of a given firm increases then its stock price decreases which leads to the value of the call options written on that stock to decrease. This result is not obtainable under Merton's (1976) ruin model where the stock price and the bankruptcy probability are independent. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 34:637–657, 2014

Date: 2014
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://hdl.handle.net/

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:34:y:2014:i:7:p:637-657

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
http://www.blackwell ... bs.asp?ref=0270-7314

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of Futures Markets is currently edited by Robert I. Webb

More articles in Journal of Futures Markets from John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Wiley Content Delivery ().

 
Page updated 2020-07-26
Handle: RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:34:y:2014:i:7:p:637-657