Investors’ Heterogeneity in Beliefs, the VIX Futures Basis, and S&P 500 Index Futures Returns
Hsiu‐Chuan Lee,
Tzu‐Hsiang Liao and
Pao‐Ying Tung
Journal of Futures Markets, 2017, vol. 37, issue 9, 939-960
Abstract:
This study analyzes the impact of the VIX futures basis on subsequent S&P 500 index futures returns using quantile regression. The results show that the impact varies with return distributions and that the effect is stronger under bad market conditions than under good market conditions. The evidence also shows that the VIX futures basis provides incremental information for the purpose of risk management. Overall, our evidence supports the conclusion that the VIX futures basis and investors’ heterogeneity in beliefs are important factors that affect S&P 500 index futures returns. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Jrl Fut Mark 37:939–960, 2017
Date: 2017
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Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wly:jfutmk:v:37:y:2017:i:9:p:939-960
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