Option‐implied betas and the cross section of stock returns

Richard Harris, Xuguang Li and Fang Qiao

Journal of Futures Markets, 2019, vol. 39, issue 1, 94-108

Abstract: We investigate the cross‐sectional relationship between stock returns and a number of measures of option‐implied beta. Using portfolio analysis, we show that the method proposed by Buss and Vilkov (2012, The Review of Financial Studies, 2525, 3113–3140) leads to a stronger relationship between implied beta and stock returns than other approaches. However, using the Fama and MacBeth (1973, Journal of Political Economy, 8181, 607–636) cross‐section regression methodology, we show that the relationship is not robust to the inclusion of other firm characteristics. We further show that a similar result holds for implied downside beta. We, therefore, conclude that there is no robust relation between option‐implied beta and returns.

Date: 2019
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