Improving momentum strategies using residual returns and option‐implied information

Ming‐Yu Liu

Journal of Futures Markets, 2019, vol. 39, issue 4, 499-521

Abstract: This paper provides an alternative method for enhancing momentum profits by combining residual returns and option‐implied information. The results show that the main benefit of applying residual returns to construct momentum portfolios is generating stable returns. Additionally, the incorporation of implied volatility (IV) spread or IV skew into a residual momentum portfolio is found to significantly raise profits, particularly during bad times and high‐sentiment periods. This is because IV spread and IV skew can dissociate winners/losers with a price underreaction from those with a price overreaction, which suggests that informed traders who perceive price underreactions/overreactions trade in option markets.

Date: 2019
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