Volatility and jump risk in option returns

Biao Guo and Hai Lin

Journal of Futures Markets, 2020, vol. 40, issue 11, 1767-1792

Abstract: We examine the importance of volatility and jump risk in the time‐series prediction of S&P 500 index option returns. The empirical analysis provides a different result between call and put option returns. Both volatility and jump risk are important predictors of put option returns. In contrast, only volatility risk is consistently significant in the prediction of call option returns over the sample period. The empirical results support the theory that there is option risk premium associated with volatility and jump risk, and reflect the asymmetry property of S&P 500 index distribution.

Date: 2020
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