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The effects of uncertainties over R&D policy or market demand on R&D levels

Chao‐Cheng Mai and Shih‐Chuan Lin

Managerial and Decision Economics, 2021, vol. 42, issue 4, 1048-1056

Abstract: This paper investigates how product market uncertainty and government research and development (R&D) subsidy uncertainty affect R&D levels in a duopoly with R&D rivalry and technological spillovers from an advanced large firm. Within this framework, one small firm and one large firm compete on R&D and output. We find that if firms' R&D efforts are strategic complements, then the firms' R&D outputs would decrease due to increased uncertainty over R&D policy but would increase due to increased uncertainty over market demand. Thus, we conclude that different types of uncertainties exert different impacts on R&D investment decisions.

Date: 2021
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https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.3291

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