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Damage calculations for unreliable warheads

R. T. Curran, S. C. Jaquette and J. L. Politzer

Naval Research Logistics Quarterly, 1979, vol. 26, issue 3, 545-550

Abstract: For large numbers of perfectly reliable, optimally targeted warheads the square‐root law approximates the expected fraction damage achieved on an area target. In this paper a more exact expression is derived for this damage fraction which Holds for all numbers of warheads. This expression is shown to converge to the square‐root law when a large number of warheads are fired. The more exact expression is used in a procedure to calculate expected damage when warheads are unreliable, and this procedure is shown to be superior to a modified square‐root approximation which has been used previously.

Date: 1979
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https://doi.org/10.1002/nav.3800260316

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