Risk Analysis

1981 - 2021

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Volume 41, issue 3, 2021

Prologue: The “Brave New World” of Social Sciences in Interdisciplinary Risk Research pp. 407-413

Andreas Klinke, Ortwin Renn, Robert Goble and Guest Special Issue Editors

Through a Glass Darkly: How Natural Science and Technical Communities Looked at Social Science Advances in Understanding Risk pp. 414-428

Rob Goble

Cultural Theory's Contributions to Risk Analysis: A Thematic Review with Directions and Resources for Further Research pp. 429-455

Branden B. Johnson and Brendon Swedlow

Organizational Risk: “Muddling Through” 40 Years of Research pp. 456-465

Kenneth Pettersen Gould

Pragmatic and (or) Constitutive? On the Foundations of Contemporary Risk Communication Research pp. 466-479

Laura N. Rickard

Trust and Risk Perception: A Critical Review of the Literature pp. 480-490

Michael Siegrist

Four Decades of Transformation in Decision Analytic Practice for Societal Risk Management pp. 491-502

Timothy McDaniels

Four Decades of Public Participation in Risk Decision Making pp. 503-518

Thomas Webler and Seth Tuler

Toward a Commonly Shared Public Policy Perspective for Analyzing Risk Coping Strategies pp. 519-532

Yanwei Li, Araz Taeihagh, Martin de Jong and Andreas Klinke

The Critical Theory of World Risk Society: A Retrospective Analysis pp. 533-543

Gabe Mythen

The Coming of Age of Risk Governance pp. 544-557

Andreas Klinke and Ortwin Renn

Volume 41, issue 2, 2021

Modeling and Managing Poliovirus Risks: We are Where we are… pp. 223-228

Kimberly M. Thompson

Reflections on Modeling Poliovirus Transmission and the Polio Eradication Endgame pp. 229-247

Kimberly M. Thompson and Dominika A. Kalkowska

Global Transmission of Live Polioviruses: Updated Dynamic Modeling of the Polio Endgame pp. 248-265

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Mark A. Pallansch, Steven G. F. Wassilak, Stephen L. Cochi and Kimberly M. Thompson

Insights From Modeling Preventive Supplemental Immunization Activities as a Strategy to Eliminate Wild Poliovirus Transmission in Pakistan and Afghanistan pp. 266-272

Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kimberly M. Thompson

Disease Surveillance Investments and Administration: Limits to Information Value in Pakistan Polio Eradication pp. 273-288

Ryan P. Scott, Alison C. Cullen and Guillaume Chabot‐Couture

Modeling Poliovirus Transmission in Borno and Yobe, Northeast Nigeria pp. 289-302

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Richard Franka, Jeff Higgins, Stephanie D. Kovacs, Joseph C. Forbi, Steven G. F. Wassilak, Mark A. Pallansch and Kimberly M. Thompson

Modeling Undetected Live Poliovirus Circulation After Apparent Interruption of Transmission: Borno and Yobe in Northeast Nigeria pp. 303-311

Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kimberly M. Thompson

Expected Implications of Globally Coordinated Cessation of Serotype 3 Oral Poliovirus Vaccine (OPV) Before Serotype 1 OPV pp. 312-319

Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kimberly M. Thompson

Updated Characterization of Post‐OPV Cessation Risks: Lessons from 2019 Serotype 2 Outbreaks and Implications for the Probability of OPV Restart pp. 320-328

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Mark A. Pallansch, Stephen L. Cochi, Stephanie D. Kovacs, Steven G. F. Wassilak and Kimberly M. Thompson

Updated Characterization of Outbreak Response Strategies for 2019–2029: Impacts of Using a Novel Type 2 Oral Poliovirus Vaccine Strain pp. 329-348

Dominika A. Kalkowska, Mark A. Pallansch, Amanda Wilkinson, Ananda S. Bandyopadhyay, Jennifer L. Konopka‐Anstadt, Cara C. Burns, M. Steven Oberste, Steven G. F. Wassilak, Kamran Badizadegan and Kimberly M. Thompson

Potential Future Use, Costs, and Value of Poliovirus Vaccines pp. 349-363

Kimberly M. Thompson and Dominika A. Kalkowska

Health and Economic Outcomes Associated with Polio Vaccine Policy Options: 2019–2029 pp. 364-375

Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kimberly M. Thompson

A Health Economic Analysis for Oral Poliovirus Vaccine to Prevent COVID‐19 in the United States pp. 376-386

Kimberly M. Thompson, Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kamran Badizadegan

Letter to the Editor pp. 387-388

Konstantin Chumakov, Dean T. Jamison, Peter Aaby, Christine S. Benn and Robert C. Gallo

No Role for Reintroducing OPV into the United States with Respect to Controlling COVID‐19 [Response to the letter to the Editor by Chumakov et al.] pp. 389-392

Kimberly M. Thompson, Dominika A. Kalkowska and Kamran Badizadegan

An Updated Economic Analysis of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative pp. 393-406

Kimberly M. Thompson and Dominika A. Kalkowska

Volume 41, issue 1, 2021

Improving Risk Management of Complex Systems pp. 1-2

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

The Need to Reconcile Concepts that Characterize Systems Facing Threats pp. 3-15

S. E. Galaitsi, Jeffrey M. Keisler, Benjamin D. Trump and Igor Linkov

An Adversarial Risk Analysis Framework for Cybersecurity pp. 16-36

David Rios Insua, Aitor Couce‐Vieira, Jose A. Rubio, Wolter Pieters, Katsiaryna Labunets and Daniel G. Rasines

Improved Transferability of Data‐Driven Damage Models Through Sample Selection Bias Correction pp. 37-55

Dennis Wagenaar, Tiaravanni Hermawan, Marc J. C. van den Homberg, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Heidi Kreibich, Hans de Moel and Laurens M. Bouwer

Bayesian Stacked Parametric Survival with Frailty Components and Interval‐Censored Failure Times: An Application to Food Allergy Risk pp. 56-66

Matthew W. Wheeler, Joost Westerhout, Joe L. Baumert and Benjamin C. Remington

Dose–Response Modeling: Extrapolating From Experimental Data to Real‐World Populations pp. 67-78

Adrian Pratt, Emma Bennett, Joseph Gillard, Steve Leach and Ian Hall

Modeling the Dose Response Relationship of Waterborne Acanthamoeba pp. 79-91

Kara Dean, Sushil Tamrakar, Yin Huang, Joan B. Rose and Jade Mitchell

Logistic Regression Models with Unspecified Low Dose–Response Relationships and Experimental Designs for Hormesis Studies pp. 92-109

Steven Kim, Jeffrey Wand, Christina Magana‐Ramirez and Jenel Fraij

Salmonella Prevalence Alone Is Not a Good Indicator of Poultry Food Safety pp. 110-130

Thomas Oscar

Kitchen Hygiene in the Spotlight: How Cooking Shows Influence Viewers’ Hygiene Practices pp. 131-140

Severine Koch, Mark Lohmann, Jasmin Geppert, Rainer Stamminger, Astrid Epp and Gaby‐Fleur Böl

Tampering with Nature: A Systematic Review pp. 141-156

Gea Hoogendoorn, Bernadette Sütterlin and Michael Siegrist

Indiscriminate, Irrelevant, and Sometimes Wrong: Causal Misconceptions about Climate Change pp. 157-178

Whitney Fleming, Adam L. Hayes, Katherine M. Crosman and Ann Bostrom

The More Who Die, the Less We Care: Evidence from Natural Language Analysis of Online News Articles and Social Media Posts pp. 179-203

Sudeep Bhatia, Lukasz Walasek, Paul Slovic and Howard Kunreuther

Secondary Risk Theory: Validation of a Novel Model of Protection Motivation pp. 204-220

Christopher L. Cummings, Sonny Rosenthal and Wei Yi Kong

Volume 40, issue S1, 2020

Risk Analysis: Celebrating the Accomplishments and Embracing Ongoing Challenges pp. 2113-2127

Michael Greenberg, Anthony Cox, Vicki Bier, Jim Lambert, Karen Lowrie, Warner North, Michael Siegrist and Felicia Wu

Foundational Challenges for Advancing the Field and Discipline of Risk Analysis pp. 2128-2136

Terje Aven and Roger Flage

Learning to Manage the Multirisk World pp. 2137-2143

Jonathan B. Wiener

Answerable and Unanswerable Questions in Risk Analysis with Open‐World Novelty pp. 2144-2177

Louis Anthony Cox

Risk Analysis, Decision Analysis, Causal Analysis, and Economics: A Personal Perspective from More Than 40 years Experience pp. 2178-2190

D. Warner North

Risk Perception: Reflections on 40 Years of Research pp. 2191-2206

Michael Siegrist and Joseph Árvai

The Role of Decision Analysis in Risk Analysis: A Retrospective pp. 2207-2217

Vicki Bier

Forty Years of Food Safety Risk Assessment: A History and Analysis pp. 2218-2230

Felicia Wu, and Joseph V. Rodricks

Risk Perception and Risk Analysis in a Hyperpartisan and Virtuously Violent World pp. 2231-2239

Paul Slovic

The Evolving Field of Risk Communication pp. 2240-2262

Dominic Balog‐Way, Katherine McComas and John Besley

Risk Management Solutions for Climate Change–Induced Disasters pp. 2263-2271

Howard Kunreuther

Improving Health Risk Assessment as a Basis for Public Health Decisions in the 21st Century pp. 2272-2299

Elizabeth L. Anderson, Gilbert S. Omenn and Paul Turnham

Volume 40, issue 12, 2020

From the Editors pp. 2479-2480

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Global Warming Risk Perceptions in India pp. 2481-2497

Jagadish Thaker, Nicholas Smith and Anthony Leiserowitz

Geographic Distributions of Extreme Weather Risk Perceptions in the United States pp. 2498-2508

Jinan N. Allan, Joseph T. Ripberger, Wesley Wehde, Makenzie Krocak, Carol L. Silva and Hank C. Jenkins‐Smith

Risk Framework for an Organizational System With Major Components pp. 2509-2523

Shane N. Hall, Mark A. Gallagher and Daniel S. Fenn

Explanatory Matrices on the Causes of a Tailing Dam Collapse in Brazil: The (Dis)Articulation of Epistemes pp. 2524-2538

Juliana Aurora de Oliveira Lopes and Léo Heller

Optimization of Sampling for Monitoring Chemicals in the Food Supply Chain Using a Risk‐Based Approach: The Case of Aflatoxins and Dioxins in the Dutch Dairy Chain pp. 2539-2560

Z. Wang, H. J. van der Fels‐Klerx and A. G. J. M. Oude Lansink

A Simple Toxicokinetic Model Exhibiting Complex Dynamics and Nonlinear Exposure Response pp. 2561-2571

Robert M. Park

Interindividual Variation in Source‐Specific Doses is a Determinant of Health Impacts of Combined Chemical Exposures pp. 2572-2583

Paul Price

A Comparative Cancer Risk Evaluation of MTBE and Other Compounds (Including Naturally Occurring Compounds) in Drinking Water in New Hampshire pp. 2584-2597

Leslie A. Beyer, Grace I. Greenberg and Barbara D. Beck

Protecting From Malware Obfuscation Attacks Through Adversarial Risk Analysis pp. 2598-2609

Alberto Redondo and David Ríos Insua

Analyzing Collision, Grounding, and Sinking Accidents Occurring in the Black Sea Utilizing HFACS and Bayesian Networks pp. 2610-2638

Özkan Uğurlu, Serdar Yıldız, Sean Loughney, Jin Wang, Shota Kuntchulia and Irakli Sharabidze

Fighting the Curse of Sparsity: Probabilistic Sensitivity Measures From Cumulative Distribution Functions pp. 2639-2660

Elmar Plischke and Emanuele Borgonovo

Health Risk, Inequality Indexes, and Environmental Justice pp. 2661-2674

Glenn Sheriff and Kelly Maguire

Postdisaster Housing Stages: A Markov Chain Approach to Model Sequences and Duration Based on Social Vulnerability pp. 2675-2695

Elaina J. Sutley and Sara Hamideh

Volume 40, issue 11, 2020

From the Editors pp. 2301-2302

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Existential Risks to Humanity Should Concern International Policymakers and More Could Be Done in Considering Them at the International Governance Level pp. 2303-2312

Matt Boyd and Nick Wilson

Identifying Promising Messages to Increase Hurricane Mitigation Among Coastal Homeowners in the United States pp. 2313-2328

Elissa C. Kranzler, Jeffrey Czajkowski and Lin Jia Chen

Industry‐Dominated Science Advisory Boards Are Perceived To Be Legitimate…But Only When They Recommend More Stringent Risk Management Policies pp. 2329-2339

Joseph Árvai, Sara Goto Gray, Kaitlin T. Raimi, Robyn Wilson and Caitlin Drummond

Using Panel Data to Understand the Dynamics of Human Behavior in Response to Flooding pp. 2340-2359

Philip Bubeck, Lisa Berghäuser, Paul Hudson and Annegret H. Thieken

Risk Communication for Empowerment: Interventions in a Rohingya Refugee Settlement pp. 2360-2372

Raul P. Lejano, Muhammad Saidur Rahman and Laila Kabir

Individual Disaster Assistance For Socially Vulnerable People: Lessons Learned From the Pohang Earthquake in the Republic of Korea pp. 2373-2389

Seunghoo Jeong, Byeong Je Kim, Young‐Joo Lee, Ji‐Bum Chung and Sung‐Han Sim

Ebola Virus Dose Response Model for Aerosolized Exposures: Insights from Primate Data pp. 2390-2398

Jade Mitchell, Kara Dean and Charles Haas

A Resilience‐Based Approach to Risk Assessments—Building Resilient Organizations under Arctic Conditions pp. 2399-2412

Jacob Taarup‐Esbensen

Altruistic and Private Values For Saving Lives With an Oyster Consumption Safety Program pp. 2413-2426

John Whitehead, O. Ashton Morgan, William L. Huth, Gregory S. Martin and Richard Sjolander

Estimating Listeria monocytogenes Growth in Ready‐to‐Eat Chicken Salad Using a Challenge Test for Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment pp. 2427-2441

Rita Bernardo, António Salvador Barreto, Telmo Nunes and Ana Rita Henriques

Demonstrating the Benefits of Predictive Bayesian Dose–Response Relationships Using Six Exposure Studies of Cryptosporidium parvum pp. 2442-2461

Frederick Bloetscher, Daniel Meeroff, Sharon C. Long and Jeanine D. Dudle

A Risk Analysis Framework for Prioritizing and Managing Biosecurity Threats pp. 2462-2477

Gilberto Montibeller, L. Alberto Franco and Ashley Carreras

Volume 40, issue 10, 2020

From the Editors pp. 1887-1888

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Risk Science Contributions: Three Illustrating Examples pp. 1889-1899

Terje Aven

Mission Abort Policy for Systems with Observable States of Standby Components pp. 1900-1912

Gregory Levitin, Liudong Xing and Yuanshun Dai

Probabilistic Analysis of Domino Effects by Using a Matrix‐Based Simulation Approach pp. 1913-1927

Jianfeng Zhou and Genserik Reniers

Predicting the Validity of Expert Judgments in Assessing the Impact of Risk Mitigation Through Failure Prevention and Correction pp. 1928-1943

Mario P. Brito and Ian G. J. Dawson

China's Railway Transportation Safety Regulation System Based on Evolutionary Game Theory and System Dynamics pp. 1944-1966

Fenling Feng, Chengguang Liu and Jiaqi Zhang

The Sources of Belief in Personal Capability: Antecedents of Self‐Efficacy in Private Adaptation to Flood Risk pp. 1967-1982

Sebastian Seebauer and Philipp Babcicky

Change in Public Concern and Responsive Behaviors Toward Air Pollution Under the Dome pp. 1983-2001

Chuanshen Qin, Jianhua Xu, Gabrielle Wong‐Parodi and Lan Xue

The Politicization of Risk: Party Cues, Polarization, and Public Perceptions of Climate Change Risk pp. 2002-2018

Stefan Linde

Deep Learning Models for Health and Safety Risk Prediction in Power Infrastructure Projects pp. 2019-2039

Anuoluwapo Ajayi, Lukumon Oyedele, Hakeem Owolabi, Olugbenga Akinade, Muhammad Bilal, Juan Manuel Davila Delgado and Lukman Akanbi

Intentions to Seek Information About the Influenza Vaccine: The Role of Informational Subjective Norms, Anticipated and Experienced Affect, and Information Insufficiency Among Vaccinated and Unvaccinated People pp. 2040-2056

Hang Lu, 2018–2019 ASK Group Appc, Kenneth Winneg, Kathleen Hall Jamieson and Dolores Albarracín

Understanding the Relationship Between Direct Experience and Risk Perception of Natural Hazards pp. 2057-2070

Nicolás C. Bronfman, Pamela C. Cisternas, Paula B. Repetto, Javiera V. Castañeda and Eliana Guic

Food Risks on the Web: Analysis of the 2017 Fipronil Alert in the Italian Online Information Sources pp. 2071-2092

Mirko Ruzza, Barbara Tiozzo, Valentina Rizzoli, Mosé Giaretta, Laura D'Este and Licia Ravarotto

To Sample or Not to Sample? An Analysis of the Need for Salmonella Sampling of Smaller Poultry Processors pp. 2093-2111

Andrew Hill, Violeta Muñoz, Jane Downes, Manon Schuppers, Sava Buncic, Sarah O'Brien and Katharina D. C. Stärk

Volume 40, issue 9, 2020

From the Editors pp. 1691-1692

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Application of Whole‐Genome Sequences and Machine Learning in Source Attribution of Salmonella Typhimurium pp. 1693-1705

Nanna Munck, Patrick Murigu Kamau Njage, Pimlapas Leekitcharoenphon, Eva Litrup and Tine Hald

Quantitative Risk Assessment: Developing a Bayesian Approach to Dichotomous Dose–Response Uncertainty pp. 1706-1722

Matthew W. Wheeler, Todd Blessinger, Kan Shao, Bruce C. Allen, Louis Olszyk, J. Allen Davis and Jeffrey S Gift

Probabilistic Analysis of Dam Accidents Worldwide: Risk Assessment for Dams of Different Purposes in OECD and Non‐OECD Countries with Focus on Time Trend Analysis pp. 1723-1743

Anna Kalinina, Matteo Spada and Peter Burgherr

A Risk Analysis Framework for Cyber Security and Critical Infrastructure Protection of the U.S. Electric Power Grid pp. 1744-1761

Sean S. Baggott and Joost R. Santos

Geospatial Modeling of Containment Probability for Escaped Wildfires in a Mediterranean Region pp. 1762-1779

Marcos Rodrigues, Fermín Alcasena, Pere Gelabert and Cristina Vega‐García

An Integrated Approach for Assessing the Impact of Large‐Scale Future Floods on a Highway Transport System pp. 1780-1794

Weiping Wang, Saini Yang, Jianxi Gao, Fuyu Hu, Wanyi Zhao and H. Eugene Stanley

A Factor Analysis Approach Toward Reconciling Community Vulnerability and Resilience Indices for Natural Hazards pp. 1795-1810

Paul M. Johnson, Corey E. Brady, Craig Philip, Hiba Baroud, Janey V. Camp and Mark Abkowitz

Supply Constraint from Earthquakes in Japan in Input–Output Analysis pp. 1811-1830

Michiyuki Yagi, Shigemi Kagawa, Shunsuke Managi, Hidemichi Fujii and Dabo Guan

All The Same? On a Certain Pattern in Cross‐National Death Risk pp. 1831-1843

Arnold Barnett

Efficient or Fair? Operationalizing Ethical Principles in Flood Risk Management: A Case Study on the Dutch‐German Rhine pp. 1844-1862

Alessio Ciullo, Jan H. Kwakkel, Karin M. De Bruijn, Neelke Doorn and Frans Klijn

A Soft‐Path Solution to Risk Reduction by Modeling Medical Waste Disposal Center Location‐Allocation Optimization pp. 1863-1886

Liming Yao, Zhongwen Xu and Ziqiang Zeng

Volume 40, issue 8, 2020

From the Editors pp. 1507-1508

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Toward General Principles for Resilience Engineering pp. 1509-1537

David J. Yu, Michael L. Schoon, Jason K. Hawes, Seungyoon Lee, Jeryang Park, P. Suresh C. Rao, Laura K. Siebeneck and Satish V. Ukkusuri

Reframing Resilience: Equitable Access to Essential Services pp. 1538-1553

Tom M. Logan and Seth D. Guikema

Exploring Factors Influencing the Risky Cycling Behaviors of Young Cyclists Aged 15–24 Years: A Questionnaire‐Based Study in China pp. 1554-1570

Cheng Wang, Weihua Zhang, Zhongxiang Feng, Kun Wang and Yuhua Gao

The Case against Commercial Antivirus Software: Risk Homeostasis and Information Problems in Cybersecurity pp. 1571-1588

Eric Jardine

A Study of Risk Relevance Reasoning Based on a Context Ontology of Railway Accidents pp. 1589-1611

Tiancheng Cao, Wenxin Mu, Juanqiong Gou and Liyu Peng

Flood Footprint Assessment: A Multiregional Case of 2009 Central European Floods pp. 1612-1631

David Mendoza‐Tinoco, Yixin Hu, Zhao Zeng, Konstantinos J. Chalvatzis, Ning Zhang, Albert E. Steenge and Dabo Guan

Safe‐by‐Design: Stakeholders’ Perceptions and Expectations of How to Deal with Uncertain Risks of Emerging Biotechnologies in the Netherlands pp. 1632-1644

Britte Bouchaut and Lotte Asveld

Risk of Antibiotic‐Resistant Staphylococcus aureus Dispersion from Hog Farms: A Critical Review pp. 1645-1665

Alexandra N. George, Jill R. Stewart, Jessica C. Evans and Jacqueline MacDonald Gibson

Media Exposure to Terrorism and Perception of Immigrants as a Threat: The Role of Emotional Intelligence and Psychophysiological Self‐Regulation pp. 1666-1676

Enrico Rubaltelli, Giulia Priolo, Sara Scrimin and Ughetta Moscardino

Incorporating Message Framing into Narrative Persuasion to Curb E‐Cigarette Use Among College Students pp. 1677-1690

Sixiao Liu and Janet Z. Yang

Volume 40, issue 7, 2020

From the Editors pp. 1321-1322

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

A Dominance‐Based Rough Set Approach for an Enhanced Assessment of Seasonal Influenza Risk pp. 1323-1341

Fatima‐Zohra Younsi, Salem Chakhar, Alessio Ishizaka, Djamila Hamdadou and Omar Boussaid

Healthcare Professionals Risk Assessments for Alert Overrides in High‐Risk IV Infusions Using Simulated Scenarios pp. 1342-1354

Wan‐Ting K. Su, Mark R. Lehto, Dan D. Degnan, Yuehwern Yih, Vincent G. Duffy and Poching DeLaurentis

A Method for Comparing the Impact on Carcinogenicity of Tobacco Products: A Case Study on Heated Tobacco Versus Cigarettes pp. 1355-1366

Wout Slob, Lya G. Soeteman‐Hernández, Wieneke Bil, Yvonne C.M. Staal, W. Edryd Stephens and Reinskje Talhout

A Predictive Model for Survival of Escherichia coli O157:H7 and Generic E. coli in Soil Amended with Untreated Animal Manure pp. 1367-1382

Hao Pang, Amir Mokhtari, Yuhuan Chen, David Oryang, David T. Ingram, Manan Sharma, Patricia D. Millner and Jane M. Van Doren

Understanding the Ecological Validity of Relying Practice as a Basis for Risk Identification pp. 1383-1398

T. Anderson, J. S. Busby and M. Rouncefield

Flood Risk Assessment and Regionalization from Past and Future Perspectives at Basin Scale pp. 1399-1417

Chengguang Lai, Xiaohong Chen, Zhaoli Wang, Haijun Yu and Xiaoyan Bai

Evaluating Lightning‐Caused Fire Occurrence Using Spatial Generalized Additive Models: A Case Study in Central Spain pp. 1418-1437

José Ramón Rodríguez‐Pérez, Celestino Ordóñez, Javier Roca‐Pardiñas, Daniel Vecín‐Arias and Fernando Castedo‐Dorado

Big Data and Predictive Analytics in Fire Risk Using Weather Data pp. 1438-1449

Puneet Agarwal, Junlin Tang, Adithya Narayanan Lakshmi Narayanan and Jun Zhuang

Insights into Flood Risk Misperceptions of Homeowners in the Dutch River Delta pp. 1450-1468

Jantsje M. Mol, Wouter Botzen, Julia E. Blasch and Hans de Moel

Evaluating the Perceived Efficacy of Randomized Security Measures at Airports pp. 1469-1480

Tamara Stotz, Angela Bearth, Signe Maria Ghelfi and Michael Siegrist

An Attacker–defender Resource Allocation Game with Substitution and Complementary Effects pp. 1481-1506

Ridwan Al Aziz, Meilin He and Jun Zhuang

Volume 40, issue 6, 2020

From the Editors pp. 1111-1112

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Roger Kasperson: In Pursuit of Solutions to Risk Conundrums pp. 1113-1116

Michael R. Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Artificial Intelligence for Natural Hazards Risk Analysis: Potential, Challenges, and Research Needs pp. 1117-1123

Seth Guikema

Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling of Post‐Earthquake Ignition Probabilities Considering Inter‐Earthquake Heterogeneity pp. 1124-1138

Keisuke Himoto

Simulating the Linkages Between Economy and Armed Conflict in India With a Long Short‐Term Memory Algorithm pp. 1139-1150

Mengmeng Hao, Jingying Fu, Dong Jiang, Fangyu Ding and Shuai Chen

The Affordability of Flood Risk Property‐Level Adaptation Measures pp. 1151-1167

Paul Hudson

Safety Regulations and the Uncertainty of Work‐Related Road Accident Loss: The Triple Identity of Chinese Local Governments Under Principal–Agent Framework pp. 1168-1182

Liangdong Lu, Hong Huang, Jiuchang Wei and Jia Xu

A Discourse on the Incorporation of Organizational Factors into Probabilistic Risk Assessment: Key Questions and Categorical Review pp. 1183-1211

Justin Pence and Zahra Mohaghegh

Understanding Risk Information Seeking and Processing during an Infectious Disease Outbreak: The Case of Zika Virus pp. 1212-1225

Austin Y. Hubner and Shelly R. Hovick

Social Influence, Risk and Benefit Perceptions, and the Acceptability of Risky Energy Technologies: An Explanatory Model of Nuclear Power Versus Shale Gas pp. 1226-1243

Judith I. M. de Groot, Elisa Schweiger and Iljana Schubert

Quantifying Human Health Risks from Virginiamycin Use in Food Animals in China pp. 1244-1257

Louis Anthony Cox, Douglas A. Popken, Jian Sun, Xiao‐ping Liao and Liang‐Xing Fang

Human Error in Autonomous Underwater Vehicle Deployment: A System Dynamics Approach pp. 1258-1278

Tzu Yang Loh, Mario P. Brito, Neil Bose, Jingjing Xu and Kiril Tenekedjiev

A Methodology for Assessing the Probability of Occurrence of Undesired Events in the Tietê–Paraná Inland Waterway Based on Expert Opinion pp. 1279-1301

Marcelo Ramos Martins, Marco Aurélio Pestana and Enrique Andrés López Droguett

Thinking Better: Six Recent Books on Natural, Artificial, and Social Intelligence pp. 1302-1319

Louis Anthony Cox

Volume 40, issue 5, 2020

From the Editors pp. 899-901

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Consideration of the Aerosol Transmission for COVID‐19 and Public Health pp. 902-907

Elizabeth L. Anderson, Paul Turnham, John R. Griffin and Chester C. Clarke

Against the De Minimis Principle pp. 908-914

Björn Lundgren and H. Orri Stefánsson

Application of a Risk Analysis Tool to Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS‐CoV) Outbreak in Saudi Arabia pp. 915-925

Xin Chen, Abrar A. Chughtai and Chandini R. MacIntyre

Work Conditions, Social Incorporations, and Foodborne Diseases Risk: Reflections About the (Non)Compliance of Food Safety Practices pp. 926-938

Rayane Stephanie Gomes de Freitas, Diogo Thimoteo da Cunha and Elke Stedefeldt

Uncertain Risk Assessment and Management: Case Studies of the Application of the Precautionary Principle in Portugal pp. 939-956

Vasco Barroso Gonçalves

Human Factors Analysis for Maritime Accidents Based on a Dynamic Fuzzy Bayesian Network pp. 957-980

Weiliang Qiao, Yu Liu, Xiaoxue Ma and Yang Liu

Operational Networks: Adaptation to Extreme Events in China pp. 981-1000

Louise K. Comfort and Haibo Zhang

Who Should Pay for Interdependent Risk? Policy Implications for Security Interdependence Among Airports pp. 1001-1019

Gabriel Kuper, Fabio Massacci, Woohyun Shim and Julian Williams

A Solar‐Centric Approach to Improving Estimates of Exposure Processes for Coronal Mass Ejections pp. 1020-1039

Kathrin Kirchen, William Harbert, Jay Apt and M. Granger Morgan

Improving Probability Judgment in Intelligence Analysis: From Structured Analysis to Statistical Aggregation pp. 1040-1057

Christopher W. Karvetski, David R. Mandel and Daniel Irwin

Support for the Deployment of Climate Engineering: A Comparison of Ten Different Technologies pp. 1058-1078

Marilou Jobin and Michael Siegrist

Estimating Evacuation Shelter Deficits in the Houston–Galveston Metropolitan Area pp. 1079-1091

Ibraheem M. Karaye, Courtney Thompson, Maria Perez‐Patron, Nicholas Taylor and Jennifer A. Horney

Situated Food Safety Risk and the Influence of Social Norms pp. 1092-1110

Nina Veflen, Joachim Scholderer and Solveig Langsrud

Volume 40, issue 4, 2020

From the Editors pp. 657-659

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Coronavirus and Risk Analysis pp. 660-661

Charles Haas

Rae Zimmerman: A Lifetime of Building Networks pp. 662-666

Michael R. Greenberg and Karen Lowrie

Inductive Risk, Science, and Values: A Reply to MacGillivray pp. 667-673

Daniel J. Hicks, P. D. Magnus and Jessey Wright

Premature Deaths, Statistical Lives, and Years of Life Lost: Identification, Quantification, and Valuation of Mortality Risks pp. 674-695

James Hammitt, Peter Morfeld, Jouni T. Tuomisto and Thomas C. Erren

The Potential Effects of Recall Bias and Selection Bias on the Epidemiological Evidence for the Carcinogenicity of Glyphosate pp. 696-704

Kenny Crump

Outbreak‐Based Giardia Dose–Response Model Using Bayesian Hierarchical Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis pp. 705-722

Tucker R. Burch

Hand‐Hygiene Mitigation Strategies Against Global Disease Spreading through the Air Transportation Network pp. 723-740

Christos Nicolaides, Demetris Avraam, Luis Cueto‐Felgueroso, Marta C. González and Ruben Juanes

Roles of Vegetable Surface Properties and Sanitizer Type on Annual Disease Burden of Rotavirus Illness by Consumption of Rotavirus‐Contaminated Fresh Vegetables: A Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment pp. 741-757

Miyu Fuzawa, Rebecca Lee Smith, Kang‐Mo Ku, Joanna L. Shisler, Hao Feng, John A. Juvik and Thanh H. Nguyen

Risk or Efficacy? How Psychological Distance Influences Climate Change Engagement pp. 758-770

Haoran Chu and Janet Z. Yang

Probability Size Matters: The Effect of Foreground‐Only versus Foreground+Background Graphs on Risk Aversion Diminishes with Larger Probabilities pp. 771-788

Yasmina Okan, Eric R. Stone, Jonathan Parillo, Wändi Bruine de Bruin and Andrew M. Parker

Dispositional Factors Affecting Choices Surrounding the Purchase of Insurance and the Taking of Mitigating Measures Against Flooding pp. 789-799

Julija Michailova and Tadeusz Tyszka

Return Migration and Decontamination After the 2011 Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Disaster pp. 800-817

Shingo Nagamatsu, Adam Rose and Jonathan Eyer

Fuzzy System Dynamics Risk Analysis (FuSDRA) of Autonomous Underwater Vehicle Operations in the Antarctic pp. 818-841

Tzu Yang Loh, Mario P. Brito, Neil Bose, Jingjing Xu and Kiril Tenekedjiev

Probabilistic Assessment of the Failure Risk of the Europa Clipper Spacecraft due to Radiations pp. 842-857

Yiqing Ding, Sean Duggan, Matthew Ferranti, Michael Jagadpramana, Rushal Rege, Yuriy Zhovtobryukh and M.‐Elisabeth Paté‐Cornell

An Integrated Approach for Modeling Sustainability Risks in Freight Transportation Systems pp. 858-883

Divya Choudhary, Ravi Shankar and Alok Choudhary

Simulating Behavioral Influences on Community Flood Risk under Future Climate Scenarios pp. 884-898

Gina Tonn, Seth Guikema and Benjamin Zaitchik

Volume 40, issue 3, 2020

From the Editors pp. 439-441

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

Using Uncertainty Analysis to Improve Consistency in Regulatory Assessments of Criteria Pollutant Standards pp. 442-449

Anne E. Smith

Assessing the Benefits and Costs of Homeland Security Research: A Risk‐Informed Methodology with Applications for the U.S. Coast Guard pp. 450-475

Detlof von Winterfeldt, Robert Farrow, Richard S. John, Jonathan Eyer, Adam Z. Rose and Heather Rosoff

Behavioral Determinants of Target Shifting and Deterrence in an Analog Cyber‐Attack Game pp. 476-493

Sarah A. Kusumastuti, Jim Blythe, Heather Rosoff and Richard S. John

Impact of Uncertainty Parameter Distribution on Robust Decision Making Outcomes for Climate Change Adaptation under Deep Uncertainty pp. 494-511

Julia Reis and Julie Shortridge

Predicting the Probability that a Chemical Causes Steatosis Using Adverse Outcome Pathway Bayesian Networks (AOPBNs) pp. 512-523

Lyle D. Burgoon, Michelle Angrish, Natalia Garcia‐Reyero, Nathan Pollesch, Anze Zupanic and Edward Perkins

Spatial Quantification of the Population Exposed to Cryptococcus neoformans and Cryptococcus gattii Species Complexes in Europe: Estimating the Immunocompetent and HIV/AIDS Patients Under Risk pp. 524-533

Alberto J. Alaniz, Jorge G. Carvajal, Mario A. Carvajal, Massimo Cogliati and Pablo M. Vergara

A Game Theory Approach for Assessment of Risk and Deployment of Police Patrols in Response to Criminal Activity in San Francisco pp. 534-549

Cheng‐Kuang Wu, Yi‐Ming Chen, Dachrahn Wu and Ching‐Lin Chi

Robustness of Optimal Investment Decisions in Mixed Insurance/Investment Cyber Risk Management pp. 550-564

Alessandro Mazzoccoli and Maurizio Naldi

Identification of Protective Actions to Reduce the Vulnerability of Safety‐Critical Systems to Malevolent Intentional Acts: An Optimization‐Based Decision‐Making Approach pp. 565-587

T. R. Wang, N. Pedroni, E. Zio and V. Mousseau

Characterization of Historical Methane Occurrence Frequencies from U.S. Underground Natural Gas Storage Facilities with Implications for Risk Management, Operations, and Regulatory Policy pp. 588-607

Richard A. Schultz, Douglas W. Hubbard, David J. Evans and Sam L. Savage

Review and Evaluation of the J100‐10 Risk and Resilience Management Standard for Water and Wastewater Systems pp. 608-623

Thomas Ying‐Jeh Chen, Valerie Nicole Washington, Terje Aven and Seth David Guikema

Persistent Risk‐Related Worry as a Function of Recalled Exposure to the Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Prior Trauma pp. 624-637

Andrew M Parker, Melissa L. Finucane, Lynsay Ayer, Rajeev Ramchand, Vanessa Parks and Noreen Clancy

The Aversion to Tampering with Nature (ATN) Scale: Individual Differences in (Dis)comfort with Altering the Natural World pp. 638-656

Kaitlin T. Raimi, Kimberly S. Wolske, P. Sol Hart and Victoria Campbell‐Arvai

Volume 40, issue 2, 2020

From the Editors pp. 215-217

Tony Cox and Karen Lowrie

People, Pipelines, and Probabilities: Clarifying Significance and Uncertainty in Environmental Impact Assessments pp. 218-226

Robin Gregory, Theresa Satterfield and David R. Boyd

The Prioritization of Island Nations as Refuges from Extreme Pandemics pp. 227-239

Matt Boyd and Nick Wilson

How Business Interests and Government Inaction Led to the Humidifier Disinfectant Disaster in South Korea: Implications for Better Risk Governance pp. 240-253

Young Jun Choi and Mi Sun Jeon

Disaster Risk Management Policies and the Measurement of Resilience for Philippine Regions pp. 254-275

Rio Yonson and Ilan Noy

Assessment of the Dose–Response Relationship Between Folate Exposure and Cognitive Impairment: Synthesizing Data from Documented Studies pp. 276-293

Bing Wang, Nadine R. Sahyoun, Kan Shao, Enakshy Dutta and Jennifer Clarke

Extended Analysis and Evidence Integration of Chloroprene as a Human Carcinogen pp. 294-318

Sonja N Sax, P. Robinan Gentry, Cynthia Van Landingham, Harvey J. Clewell and Kenneth A. Mundt

Quantifying the Economic Impact of Hydraulic Fracturing Proppant Selection in Light of Occupational Exposure Risk and Functional Requirements pp. 319-335

Sidharth Agrawal and Jeremy M. Gernand

Evaluation of Multicriteria Decision Analysis Algorithms in Food Safety: A Case Study on Emerging Zoonoses Prioritization pp. 336-351

Alberto Garre, Geraldine Boué, Pablo S. Fernández, Jeanne‐Marie Membré and Jose A. Egea

Recognizing Structural Nonidentifiability: When Experiments Do Not Provide Information About Important Parameters and Misleading Models Can Still Have Great Fit pp. 352-369

Philip J. Schmidt, Monica B. Emelko and Mary E. Thompson

Radon as a Tracer of Lung Changes Induced by Smoking pp. 370-384

Radoslav Böhm, Antonín Sedlák, Martin Bulko and Karol Holý

Proximity (Mis)perception: Public Awareness of Nuclear, Refinery, and Fracking Sites pp. 385-398

Benjamin A. Lyons, Heather Akin and Natalie Jomini Stroud

The Psychophysics of Terror Attack Casualty Counts pp. 399-407

Matt Baucum and Richard John

Defender–Attacker Games with Asymmetric Player Utilities pp. 408-420

Qingqing Zhai, Rui Peng and Jun Zhuang

Modeling Pathology Workload and Complexity to Manage Risks and Improve Patient Quality and Safety pp. 421-434

David M. Vanlandingham, Wesley Hampton, Kimberly M. Thompson and Kamran Badizadegan

On Grand Strategy. John Lewis Gaddis (2018). Penguin Press. London, England pp. 435-438

Louis Anthony Cox

Volume 40, issue 1, 2020

Engineering Systems and Risk Analytics pp. 1-7

Desheng Wu and James H. Lambert

Quantitative Risk Assessment of Seafarers’ Nonfatal Injuries Due to Occupational Accidents Based on Bayesian Network Modeling pp. 8-23

Guizhen Zhang, Vinh V. Thai, Adrian Wing‐Keung Law, Kum Fai Yuen, Hui Shan Loh and Qingji Zhou

Time‐Varying Risk Measurement for Ship Collision Prevention pp. 24-42

Yamin Huang and P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder

Workforce/Population, Economy, Infrastructure, Geography, Hierarchy, and Time (WEIGHT): Reflections on the Plural Dimensions of Disaster Resilience pp. 43-67

Joost Santos, Christian Yip, Shital Thekdi and Sheree Pagsuyoin

Risk‐Informed Requirements for Design and Assessment of Structures Under Temporary Use pp. 68-82

Ramon Hingorani and Peter Tanner

Advances on a Decision Analytic Approach to Exposure‐Based Chemical Prioritization pp. 83-96

Matthew D. Wood, Kenton Plourde, Sabrina Larkin, Peter P. Egeghy, Antony J. Williams, Valerie Zemba, Igor Linkov and Daniel A. Vallero

An Integrated Scenario Ensemble‐Based Framework for Hurricane Evacuation Modeling: Part 1—Decision Support System pp. 97-116

Rachel A. Davidson, Linda K. Nozick, Tricia Wachtendorf, Brian Blanton, Brian Colle, Randall L. Kolar, Sarah DeYoung, Kendra M. Dresback, Wenqi Yi, Kun Yang and Nicholas Leonardo

An Integrated Scenario Ensemble‐Based Framework for Hurricane Evacuation Modeling: Part 2—Hazard Modeling pp. 117-133

Brian Blanton, Kendra Dresback, Brian Colle, Randy Kolar, Humberto Vergara, Yang Hong, Nicholas Leonardo, Rachel Davidson, Linda Nozick and Tricia Wachtendorf

Interdependent Network Recovery Games pp. 134-152

Andrew M. Smith, Andrés D. González, Leonardo Dueñas‐Osorio and Raissa M. D'Souza

Deep Uncertainties in Sea‐Level Rise and Storm Surge Projections: Implications for Coastal Flood Risk Management pp. 153-168

Perry C. Oddo, Ben S. Lee, Gregory G. Garner, Vivek Srikrishnan, Patrick M. Reed, Chris E. Forest and Klaus Keller

A Framework for Understanding Uncertainty in Seismic Risk Assessment pp. 169-182

Roxane Foulser‐Piggott, Gary Bowman and Martin Hughes

Multicriteria Decision Framework for Cybersecurity Risk Assessment and Management pp. 183-199

Alexander A. Ganin, Phuoc Quach, Mahesh Panwar, Zachary A. Collier, Jeffrey M. Keisler, Dayton Marchese and Igor Linkov

Estimating the Probability of Human Error by Incorporating Component Failure Data from User‐Induced Defects in the Development of Complex Electrical Systems pp. 200-214

Peter J. Majewicz, Paul Blessner, Bill Olson and Timothy Blackburn