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Globalization, Governance, and the Green Economy in Sub‐Saharan Africa: Policy Thresholds

Simplice Asongu and Joseph Nnanna

World Affairs, 2021, vol. 184, issue 2, 176-212

Abstract: This study assesses how globalization modulates the effect of governance on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in sub‐Saharan African countries. The empirical evidence is based on Generalized Method of Moments. The minimum level (or negative threshold) of Foreign Direct Investment required for it to interact with political stability and contribute toward the green economy is 45 percent of gross domestic product (GDP), while 90 percent of GDP is the maximum level (or positive threshold) required for trade to complement “voice and accountability” in mitigating CO2 emissions. Seventy‐six percent of GDP and 80 percent of GDP are, respectively, negative trade thresholds for government effectiveness and economic governance. The corresponding negative trade thresholds for the rule of law, corruption‐control, and institutional governance are, respectively, 230 percent of GDP, 63.5 percent of GDP, and 106.5 percent of GDP. Actionable openness policy thresholds are provided to inform policy makers on how governance interacts with globalization to promote the green economy. Este estudio evalúa cómo la globalización modula el efecto de la gobernanza sobre las emisiones de CO2 en los países del África subsahariana. La evidencia empírica se basa en el Método Generalizado de Momentos. El nivel mínimo (o umbral negativo) de Inversión Extranjera Directa que se requiere para que interactúe con la estabilidad política y contribuya a la economía verde es el 45 por ciento del Producto Interno Bruto (PIB), mientras que el 90 por ciento del PIB es el nivel máximo (o umbral positivo) necesarios para que el comercio complemente la “voz y la responsabilidad” en la mitigación de las emisiones de CO2. El 76 por ciento del PIB y el 80 por ciento del PIB son, respectivamente, umbrales comerciales negativos para la eficacia del gobierno y la gobernanza económica. Los correspondientes umbrales comerciales negativos para el estado de derecho, el control de la corrupción y la gobernanza institucional son, respectivamente, el 230 por ciento del PIB, el 63,5 por ciento del PIB y el 106,5 por ciento del PIB. Se proporcionan umbrales de políticas de apertura procesables para informar a los responsables políticos sobre cómo la gobernanza interactúa con la globalización para promover la economía verde. 這項研究評估了全球化如何調節撒哈拉以南非洲國家治理對二氧化碳排放的影響。經驗證據基於廣義矩量法。與政治穩定互動並為綠色經濟做出貢獻所需的外國直接投資的最低水平(或負閾值)為國內生產總值(GDP)的45%, 而最高水平(或正閾值)為GDP的90% ), 以補充”聲音和問責制”, 以減少二氧化碳排放量。 GDP的76%和GDP的80%分別是政府效力和經濟治理的負貿易門檻。法治, 腐敗控制和機構治理的相應負貿易門檻分別為GDP的230%, GDP的63.5%和GDP的106.5%。提供了可操作的開放性政策門檻, 以向決策者提供有關治理如何與全球化互動以促進綠色經濟的信息。

Date: 2021
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https://doi.org/10.1177/00438200211017288

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Working Paper: Globalization, Governance and the Green Economy in Sub-Saharan Africa: Policy Thresholds (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Globalization, Governance and the Green Economy in Sub-Saharan Africa: Policy Thresholds (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Globalization, Governance and the Green Economy in Sub-Saharan Africa: Policy Thresholds (2021) Downloads
Working Paper: Globalization, Governance and the Green Economy in Sub-Saharan Africa: Policy Thresholds (2021) Downloads
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