A spatial microsimulation of population dynamics in Southern France: a model integrating individual decisions and spatial constraints

C. Aschan-Leygonie (), H. Mathian (), L. Sanders () and K. Mäkilä ()
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C. Aschan-Leygonie: UMR-Géographie-cités (P.A.R.I.S)., CNRS-Universités Paris 1 et Paris 7-ENS, 13, rue du four, F-75006, Paris
H. Mathian: UMR-Géographie-cités (P.A.R.I.S)., CNRS-Universités Paris 1 et Paris 7-ENS, 13, rue du four, F-75006, Paris
L. Sanders: UMR-Géographie-cités (P.A.R.I.S)., CNRS-Universités Paris 1 et Paris 7-ENS, 13, rue du four, F-75006, Paris
K. Mäkilä: University of Umeå, Department of Social and Economic Geography, SE-901 87 Umeå, Sweden

Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2000, vol. 03, issue 01n04, 109-125

Abstract: The aim is to model the spatial distribution of the population dynamics in Southern France. First the philosophical differences between a micro-level approach and a meso-level approach are presented and their respective advantages are briefly compared from a general point of view. Then the model is presented. It is a microsimulation model but it has some rules defined at the aggregate level of the communes. Change occur through events as birth, death and migration. that depend on probabilities that are linked to different individuals characteristics as sex, age etc. Four scenarios of development are tested and some future improvements are proposed.

Keywords: dynamic modelling; microsimulation; settlement system; spatial analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2000
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DOI: 10.1142/S0219525900000091

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