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INFERENCE VERSUS IMPRINT IN CLIMATE MODELING

A. J. Palmer, T. L. Schneider and L. A. Benjamin
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A. J. Palmer: NOAA Environmental Technology Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305, USA
T. L. Schneider: NOAA Environmental Technology Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305, USA
L. A. Benjamin: NOAA Forecast Systems Laboratory, 325 Broadway, Boulder, CO 80305, USA

Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2002, vol. 05, issue 01, 73-89

Abstract: A statistical inference method known as ε-machine reconstruction is introduced as a modeling procedure for turbulent transport processes in a climate model. Observational data on the atmospheric boundary layer obtained with a radar wind profiler, a radio-acoustic sounding system, and a Raman lidar system was assembled to construct this type of model for use within the unresolved (sub-grid) scales of a numerical climate model. An ensemble of 500 single-column model runs using the inferred sub-grid turbulent transport models demonstrated comparable performance to an identical ensemble of runs using the standard, eddy-diffusivity parametrizations for the turbulent transport. The primary advantages of the ε-machine models are that they are a less biased modeling framework for complex processes such as turbulent transport, and that they are more memory efficient.

Keywords: Climate modeling; statistical inference; sub-grid parametrization; ε-machine (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2002
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DOI: 10.1142/S021952590200050X

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