PREDICTABILITY OF CHAOS INHERENT IN THE OCCURRENCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS

Sutapa Chaudhuri ()
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Sutapa Chaudhuri: Department of Atmospheric Sciences, University of Calcutta, 51/2 Hazra Road, Kolkata – 700 019, India

Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2006, vol. 09, issue 01n02, 77-85

Abstract: The purpose of the present study is to investigate the existence of deterministic chaos in the time series of occurrence or non-occurrence of severe thunderstorms of the pre-monsoon season over the Northeastern part of India. Results from the current study reveal the existence of chaos in the relevant time series. The corresponding predictabilities are also computed quantitatively. The study recommends that the formulation of numerical weather prediction models for forecasting the occurrence of this high frequency meso-scale convective system must take into account the intrinsic chaos.

Keywords: Pre-monsoon season; Northeastern India; severe thunderstorm; deterministic chaos (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2006
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.1142/S0219525906000689

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