AN EMPIRICAL MODEL FOR ELECTRONIC SUBMISSIONS TO CONFERENCES

Patrick Flandrin ()
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Patrick Flandrin: Université de Lyon, École Normale Supérieure de Lyon, Laboratoire de Physique (UMR 5672 CNRS), 46, Allée d'Italie, 69364 Lyon Cedex 07, France

Advances in Complex Systems (ACS), 2010, vol. 13, issue 03, 439-449

Abstract: Electronic submission to a conference is a process that is known to evolve nonlinearly in time, with a dramatic increase when approaching the deadline. A model has recently been proposed by Alfiet al.(Nature Physics, 2007) for such a process, and the question of its universality has been raised. This problem is revisited here from a data analysis and modeling point of view, on the basis of a larger data set. A new model is proposed that better describes the total evolution of the process (including saturation) and allows for a running prediction of the total number of submissions.

Keywords: Deadline; publication; growth phenomena (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2010
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DOI: 10.1142/S0219525910002554

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