A General Equilibrium Analysis of the Impact of Climate Change on Agriculture in the People’s Republic of China

Fan Zhai, Tun Lin and Enerelt Byambadorj

Asian Development Review (ADR), 2009, vol. 26, issue 01, 206-225

Abstract: This paper examines the potential long-term impacts of global climate change on agricultural production and trade in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Using an economy-wide, global computable general equilibrium model, this paper simulates the scenarios of global agricultural productivity change induced by climate change up to 2080. The results suggest that with the anticipated decline in agriculture share of gross domestic product, the impact of climate change on the PRC’s macro economy will be moderate. The food processing subsectors are predicted to bear the brunt of losses from the agricultural productivity changes caused by climate change. Production of some crop sectors (such as wheat), in contrast, is likely to expand due to increased demand from other regions of the world.

Date: 2009
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (2)

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0116110509500073
Open Access

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:adrxxx:v:26:y:2009:i:01:n:s0116110509500073

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

DOI: 10.1142/S0116110509500073

Access Statistics for this article

Asian Development Review (ADR) is currently edited by Tetsushi Sonobe

More articles in Asian Development Review (ADR) from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().