Housing Affordability and Permanent Migration Intention of Rural-Urban Migrants

Xin Dong () and Weihua Zhou ()
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Xin Dong: Institute for Urban and Environmental Studies, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, MCC Tower, 28 Shuguangxili, Chaoyang District, Beijing 100028, P. R. China
Weihua Zhou: Chinese Academy of Fiscal Sciences, Ministry of Finance of China, 17F, Xinzhi Building, 28(A) Fucheng Road, Haidian District, Beijing 100142, P. R. China

Chinese Journal of Urban and Environmental Studies (CJUES), 2016, vol. 04, issue 02, 1-12

Abstract: Leading the rural-urban migration is the key to solving the problem of imbalanced urban structure in China; in which the migration will of the rural-urban migrants should not be ignored, especially the permanent will of migration. This paper uses the ratio of rent to income as an indicator of the housing affordability of rural-urban migrants, empirically analyzes the impact of housing affordability on the permanent migration will of rural-urban migrants. It was found that the impact of rent-income ratio is significant and there exists a turning point. Before the point, the ratio is positively correlated with the permanent migration will of rural migrants; whereas after the turning point, they are negatively correlated. Before that point, relative to income of rural migrants, the rents are still bearable and the ratio does not have a negative effect on the migration will, which explains why a large number of rural-urban migrants tend to choose the large-sized cities with higher housing prices, rather than the small and medium-sized cities or small towns with lower housing prices.

Keywords: Housing affordability; rural-urban migrants; migration intention (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2016
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Citations: View citations in EconPapers (3)

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DOI: 10.1142/S2345748116500196

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