QUALITATIVE AND QUANTITATIVE ASPECTS OFÂ DENGUE DYNAMICS USING NONLOCAL AND NON-SINGULAR KERNELS

Rashid Jan, Zahir Shah (), Narcisa Vrinceanu, Mihaela Racheriu, Normy Norfiza Abdul Razak () and Elisabeta Antonescu
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Rashid Jan: Department of Mathematics, Saveetha School of Engineering (SIMATS), Thandalam, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India2Department of Mathematics, Khazar University, Baku, Azerbaijan3Institute of Energy Infrastructure (IEI), Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN), Putrajaya Campus, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
Zahir Shah: Department of Mathematical Sciences, University of Lakki Marwat, Lakki Marwat 28420, KPK, Pakistan
Narcisa Vrinceanu: Department of Industrial Machines and Equipments, Faculty of Engineering, “Lucian Blaga†University of Sibiu, 10 Victoriei Boulevard, Romania
Mihaela Racheriu: Department of Clinical Surgery, County Clinical Emergency Hospital, Sibiu, Romania
Normy Norfiza Abdul Razak: Institute of Energy Infrastructure (IEI), Department of Civil Engineering, College of Engineering, Universiti Tenaga Nasional (UNITEN), Putrajaya Campus, Jalan IKRAM-UNITEN, 43000 Kajang, Selangor, Malaysia
Elisabeta Antonescu: Preclinical Department, Faculty of Medicine, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Sibiu, Romania

FRACTALS (fractals), 2025, vol. 33, issue 08, 1-15

Abstract: Dengue infection, as a significant public health concern, demands a multifaceted approach that integrates enhanced vector control, public education, robust surveillance systems, and ongoing research into vaccines and therapies. Addressing this growing threat effectively requires collaboration among governments, healthcare organizations, and local communities. In this study, we develop a mathematical model to analyze the dynamics of dengue transmission, offering insights into its pathways for improved control and management. The model employs a novel fractional derivative framework to capture the role of memory effects in transmission dynamics. Our research focuses on both qualitative and quantitative analyses of dengue dynamics. Using Schaefer’s and Banach’s fixed-point theorems, we establish the existence and uniqueness of solutions. The stability of the system is evaluated through rigorous analytical methods. To explore the impact of fractional order, vaccination, treatment, and biting rates on dengue prevalence, we conduct numerical simulations. The results highlight that reducing mosquito bite rates significantly mitigates the severity of dengue infections. Furthermore, the study identifies memory index, treatment, vaccination, and fractional order as effective strategies for controlling dengue outbreaks.

Keywords: Fractional Calculus; Dengue Dynamics; Vaccination; Quantitative Analysis; Stability Analysis; Control Policies (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2025
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DOI: 10.1142/S0218348X25401462

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