RISE AND FALL OF SYNTHETIC CDO MARKET: LESSONS LEARNED
JABłECKI Juliusz ()
Additional contact information
JABłECKI Juliusz: Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw and National Bank of Poland, Poland
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), 2017, vol. 20, issue 08, 1-28
This paper uses a unique data set of more than 1000 synthetic Collateralized Debt Obligations (CDOs) deals to describe typical structures, their pricing and performance with the aim of identifying the factors behind the spectacular collapse of this important segment of structured credit market in late 2008. The data suggests that mark-to-market losses on many synthetic CDO tranches were much more significant than in case of simpler, lower-rated products despite the former experiencing little or no impairment of the notional. The losses were driven instead by the concentration of relatively limited number of defaults in a short period of time, suggesting that pre-crisis pricing must have seriously underestimated such risk of default clustering. In view of the post-crisis pick-up in synthetic CDO issuance, the paper attempts to heed this lesson and offer a simple factor model of default correlation in the spirit of Marshall–Olkin that is naturally suited to capturing the temporal dimension of default dependencies that have been crucial for synthetic CDOs investors. The model allows building a rich dependence structure capable of consistently fitting standardized iTraxx and CDX index tranches, which makes it ideal for pricing bespoke CDOs.
Keywords: CDO; financial crisis; default correlation; systematic risk; Marshall-Olkin copula (search for similar items in EconPapers)
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations Track citations by RSS feed
Downloads: (external link)
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.
Export reference: BibTeX
RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan)
Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:ijtafx:v:20:y:2017:i:08:n:s0219024917500522
Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from
Access Statistics for this article
International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF) is currently edited by L P Hughston
More articles in International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF) from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Series data maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().