Validating India’s Withdrawal from RCEP and Its Regional Future

Monika Jain ()
Additional contact information
Monika Jain: Birla Institute of Management Technology, Plot Number 5, Knowledge Park 2, NCR, Greater Noida, Uttar Pradesh 201306, India

Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP), 2024, vol. 15, issue 02, 1-18

Abstract: The withdrawal of India from negotiations on the world’s largest trade pact, the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP), in November 2019 was a major setback for proponents of regional economic unity. This paper tries to evaluate India’s concerns and also the way forward for India. A review of trade between RCEP countries post-implementation is done to analyze India’s stand against joining the block. India decided to opt out of the agreement because of adverse trade balance, impact on the dairy sector, economic slowdown, experience with Free trade agreements (FTAs), China factor, data localization, rules of origin, and the experience of ASEAN countries with Sino-FTA have been some of the factors responsible for this decision. Bilateral trade agreements with Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand, Korea, Rep.and ASEAN were already in place. So, trade between India and 12 RCEP member countries would not have changed after India’s inclusion in RCEP. There was fear of a massive surge in imported manufactures from China and dairy imports from Australia and New Zealand. This paper also evaluates the long-term repercussions of this decision and whether India missed out on becoming part of the global value chain n having greater market access through this block. India’s experience following protectionist policies did not yield the desired results in the past. So, an in-depth analysis has been done to validate if India has made a mistake by not joining RCEP or if India’s concerns and fears were justified and its regional future.

Keywords: RCEP; FTA’s; trade deficit; China; trade agreements; ASEAN (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F31 O34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2024
References: Add references at CitEc
Citations:

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S1793993323500229
Access to full text is restricted to subscribers

Related works:
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wsi:jicepx:v:15:y:2024:i:02:n:s1793993323500229

Ordering information: This journal article can be ordered from

DOI: 10.1142/S1793993323500229

Access Statistics for this article

Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP) is currently edited by Ramkishen S. Rajan

More articles in Journal of International Commerce, Economics and Policy (JICEP) from World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd.
Bibliographic data for series maintained by Tai Tone Lim ().