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Capital Structure, Risk and Asymmetric Information

Nikolay Halov () and Florian Heider
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Nikolay Halov: Rady School of Management, University of California, San Diego, CA, USA

Quarterly Journal of Finance (QJF), 2011, vol. 01, issue 04, 767-809

Abstract: This paper argues that firms may not issue debt in order to avoid the adverse selection cost of debt. Theory suggests that since debt is a concave claim, it may be mispriced when outside investors are uninformed about firms' risk. The empirical literature has however paid little attention to the caveat that the "lemons" problem of external financing first identified by Myers (1984) only leads to debt issuance, i.e., a pecking order, if debt is risk free or, if it is risky, that it is not mispriced. This paper examines whether and for what firms the adverse selection cost of debt is more than a theoretical possibility and how this cost relates to other costs of debt such as bankruptcy. In the absence of any direct measure of something that is unknown to investors and thus cannot be in the econometrician's information set, we present extensive strong and robust evidence in a large unbalanced panel of publicly traded US firms from 1971 to 2001 that firms avoid issuing debt when the outside market is likely to know little about their risk.

Keywords: Capital structure; risk; asymmetric information; adverse selection costs of debt; pecking order; security issuance (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2011
References: View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations: View citations in EconPapers (18)

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DOI: 10.1142/S2010139211000171

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